Here is the 18z Euro at hour 90 at the end of the run and also here is the 18z GFS for hour 90.
I don’t see much of a difference. The GFS in the next several hours pulled the low back in closer to the coast and hammered us with the CCB as it stalled out and then slowly moved out.
Still plenty of time for adjustments to the bullseye.
The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm.
Earlier tonight, the post from @psuhoffman stated the importance of the low being tucked in for most of our HECS.
The 0z Euro run was very tucked in and it stalled out and just crushed CTP!
Only a few days to go....
The 18z GEFS is starting to come around to the Euro idea for the storm on Monday. There are an increasing amount of ensemble member lows off of the coast and it develops a mean low position just off of the coast of the DelMarVa by early Monday am.
The snow map is reflecting the potential of the CTP jackpot!
Great posts & awesome Euro, EPS & Canadian runs as well.
Did you see the CIPS analogs posted on the Mid Atlantic forum as well? The top 10 storm analogs are a greatest hits list for CTP snow.
Let’s do this!