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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The 0z NAM would still tack on a little more snow because the event is still going on at the end of the run.
  2. The southern edge is south of the MD line...even southern York and Lancaster get a few inches this run according to the long range NAM.
  3. Here is the snow map for the end of the 18z NAM run that shows the beginning of the event.
  4. I like the look of the front end snow thump on the 18z NAM at the end of the run. Yes, long range NAM, but it should help over the next 24 to 48 hours to see the thermals for the snow & mix zones. I think many in our region have a good chance for 3 to 6 inches of snow, more for those that stay mostly snow & less for the areas that mix.
  5. CTP already is ramping up their discussion on this early week event and said this in their Hazardous Weather Outlook this morning. “Steady snow will likely spread northeast across the region Monday afternoon and continue into Tuesday as low pressure moves northeast up the Ohio River Valley.”
  6. Things are still looking good on the latest EPS & GEFS for the early week storm chance for most of CTP. The short range models will soon be in range to help us determine the final story on this event.
  7. Yes, that is a good thing! I am just fired up about the opportunities next week. We are very much in the game, but anything is still possible for the better or worse. I think we have a good chance, but we will know more in the next few days. This place should be very busy this week!
  8. Just having some fun everyone! Can we please just get excited that it might snow next week?!?! The posts tonight are a real downer despite the current pattern and some recent model runs.
  9. Remember when we had to walk backwards to school in 2 feet of snow every week in the winter when we were kids...
  10. Here we go.... MDT was above normal snow the majority of years over the last decade. We had one bad year last year.
  11. Yes, but it’s not like one random 18z run has shown this event... There is a building consensus. Nothing is guaranteed until we are shoveling!
  12. I’m just waiting for the Advisory to be posted for Monday and for you to post “ I’ll bet MDT won’t get 1 inch of snow”! I really am looking forward to that post!
  13. Just last year there was no snow. Besides last year, we had a great decade of snow. Above normal snow most years.
  14. We also don’t live in MD or DC... Yes, there are a few ways that this storm can go as the models have bounced around. However, over the past 24 hours, all models put the LSV in a solid 3 to 5 inches of snow for the early week event. A consensus is forming that says we are in a good spot for this event.
  15. Very true! Let’s see what the 0z runs show tonight.
  16. I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week!
  17. The 12z EPS had the best 15 day run yet again since a couple of days before the December event this season. Buckle up... this should be a fun week of tracking!
  18. The 0z Euro & EPS remained steady for this potential storm for CTP.
  19. The 6z GFS had the best run yet for this event for the southern half of CTP.
  20. Yes, and I really like where we are sitting in the LSV. The bullseye keeps moving north & south, but we have stayed very much in the game the last couple of days. Hopefully we are digging out from the early week storm while tracking the late week opportunity!
  21. There is a ton to track over the next week. The Monday/Tuesday storm is only 5 days out!
  22. @MAG5035 What do you think of the potential storm chances next week that the Euro & EPS are advertising?
  23. The 12z EPS was on board with all of the potential of the Euro Op run. Here is the EPS 15 day total snow! It was not long ago that this map was consistently showing around 3 inches for the 15 days. The last couple of days we have been near 8 inches on these maps, and today most of CTP is over 10 inches of snow. Awesome signal for the 15 day map!
  24. The bottom line is that next week is loaded with potential. We have the chance to have a great week of winter weather with 2 storm opportunities. Here are the combined 2 event snow total 12z Euro maps for next week in 10-1 and Kuchera ratio. I would be thrilled with half of this!
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