Blizzard of 93

I also like being near the boundary in the middle of winter. We would have some hits & misses, but at least would be in the game every storm. It would sure beat a cold & dry pattern where we would chase clippers & deal with suppressing storms to the south.

Yes, they have many good posters in the Mid-Atlantic forum. I have learned a ton from the main posters down there over the years. I think that we have several knowledgeable posters here in our forum. I think that whenever one of us provides a quality post, it promotes good discussion. I would absolutely love to see more quality posts here, but if no one gets things started, it stays kind of quiet. @pasnownut , I see some of your posts down in the Mid Atlantic forum & I wonder to myself, “ why doesn’t he post that kind of good stuff in the Central PA forum?” My point is, even if it seems quiet in here, if you or any of us, provide a good quality post, usually it will get a good conversation started. The last few days have been awesome in here. I didn’t have time to post due to work & holiday festivities, but it was a great read whenever I had the chance to check in here.

Yes, I also lurk there every day. The main posters there like @psuhoffman , @Bob Chill & several others have a ton of knowledge & good posting style that make it informative, easy to read, & they are entertaining. I don’t post there often, but I look forward to reading their posts everyday.

Yes, I remember opening presents with my parents maybe around 8 or 9am & the rain changed to thumping heavy snow! I was in my mid-20’s at the time, but it was absolutely magical, like something right out of the Christmas songs. I had rented a truck the day before so that I could take us from Harrisburg to Mechanicsburg to my grandparents house for Christmas dinner. That was one heck of a ride in the driving snow, even with a 4x4 truck!

No one anywhere is saying mid to late January until the next snow chance...

Looking over the 12z EPS, there are also signs of a system approaching from the south around the 30th that could have some winter weather potential.

Yes, there is a little hope on the 12z Euro that our break in the action pattern will have some winter weather. Normals really go down as we head into late December, & of course we need it to be just cold enough to snow. Sometimes we can luck into minor snow events even in a not good looking pattern. Here is the 12z Euro for late 12/26 into 12/27.

Arrived home to a solid coating of snow in Marysville. It felt like winter today with on & off flurries & snow showers.

I’m going to go to sleep tonight dreaming of this classic Miller A that you described !

Yes, I couldn’t agree more with this. We have lost several good posters over the years. There used to be some red tag guys, especially from around the State College & Altoona areas, that no longer post here. I know that the NYC & Philly threads have had the same problem. Many of their good posters have created their own weather forums or left for other boards. Last year Bob Chill stopped posting for a long time because he was frustrated with all of the whining in the Mid Atlantic forum. So yes, we must persevere through the bad times, while we look forward to better winter weather days that lie ahead.

Yes & I just saw your posts tonight in the Mid Atlantic thread.... there are a few of us that are nowhere close to the ledge. The winter game is just getting started !

The MJO looks like it will emerge next week from the COD & head into phase 6 but then quickly go into phase 7 at a low amplitude. Phases 7,8,1 & 2 are the good phases for cold & snow in the heart of winter in the northeast. In the meantime, with the MJO in the COD & operating at low amplitude, this should let other pattern drivers take over if they have any strength.

Yes, 100% agree that we need a banter thread. The baseless comments that add no value to the thread should go to banter. Also, it couldn’t hurt to have a place where we could have a little fun & go a little off topic every now & then.

Yes, this place is awesome during the week before a great snowstorm!

Yes, & it ends all of the talk that snow won’t stick to the roads in March as well.

Just like JB says, “enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got “. I love tracking everything from heavy coatings to historic blizzards, and everything in between. You stated this so well. I too am into winter storm tracking for the “shared passion of the chase & the euphoria that comes with the storm itself”. I love the challenge of attempting to exceed our climo average snow for the season. Some years we get there easily & other years we need a last second Hail Mary storm to get us over the top. It’s always interesting to see how our winter unfolds each season. We all would love to score snow consistently from mid November to early April, but it is extremely rare to get one of those top 10 type of seasons. In reality, during most years, even in good snow seasons, we experience snow droughts that last a few weeks. In the good years, we don’t remember the non-wintry periods, we just celebrate the glory of the good snow. Our time will come, we just need a little patience...

Light mix of precip in Marysville with a few mangled flakes every now & then.

CTP put this Special Weather Statement out for many of us this evening. I’m interested to see what that the heavy band of precip will bring that is pushing up from the southern tier towards the turnpike. Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 504 PM EST Mon Dec 16 2019 PAZ024>028-033>036-056>059-063>066-170115- Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York- Lancaster- 504 PM EST Mon Dec 16 2019 Bands of sleet, rain, freezing rain, and snow will continue to develop and lift northward into south central Pennsylvania this evening. While temperatures across the lower elevations were at or just above freezing, the precipitation may come down hard enough at times to result in icy spots. As the bands of precipitation lift further north this evening, the precipitation will be more in the form of snow. This will be especially the case north of Route 22. Persons traveling this evening should be alert for a wide range of conditions and allow extra travel time.

I woke up briefly a few hours ago & saw a few light snow flakes in Marysville. Currently there are cloudy skies & nothing on the ground. I thought this event would perform better when it looked like the storm was coming out in one solid push with a good precip shield meeting up with fresh cold air. Then, the models locked on to the the 2 part storm idea & really weakened the first round as it got to PA. That’s when our chance at a widespread 1-3 or 2-4 event dissipated. Congrats to those that are getting some snow this morning! For the rest of us, our time will eventually arrive as we progress this winter.

This is awesome, especially the Canderson & Williamsport comments ! Also, Sauss & I would never even consider slant sticking our measurements ...

I have been watching the radar to our west & it seems like the precip has gained latitude while moving steadily to the east. Here is CTP’s latest snow map. Also, I noticed that our friend @Anduril did not like the color scheme on CTP’s map on their Twitter page. I had a good Lol on his comment.

I think a lot will depend on the MJO. The models are split as to which phase it goes into when it emerges from the COD. As for this moment, I’m going to try to enjoy the little bit of snow tomorrow & then see where things go from there.

Here are a variety of 12z snow maps that support CTP’s Advisory for 1-3 from around the turnpike on south. I even dusted off & included the old SREF just for fun!

Great post @MAG5035 Any thoughts on the coastal potential for next weekend?

I think that’s a good call. It all depends on well that front running precip stays together as it crosses the state. I also noticed a lot of models showing the @Bubbler86 jackpot!