Blizzard of 93

Ok, so I couldn’t resist posting the 18z GFS This is for @pasnownut & @Itstrainingtime This should be a fun few days of tracking!

So no one is going to post the 18z Happy hour GFS ? @pasnownut must have passed out when he took a look at it !

The overnight EPS & GEFS have increased their snow amounts for the storm this weekend. It’s a complicated set up, but hopefully we can get some front end snow & then get the coastal that develops to take a good track under us.

The upcoming 2 weeks look to be loaded with potential for winter storms. We need to get in prime tracking shape in short order!

That’s impressive, especially for an event that was mostly ignored by CTP & local TV forecasters. Last night, the 11pm news gave zero mention of any possibility of even wet snow for the LSV this morning.

That’s great! Congrats!

Congrats! After about 1 hour of wet snow in Marysville, we got into the dry slot & when precip came back, rates were not heavy enough to produce more than a mix here. I am happy for everyone that is scoring their first snow accumulation of the year! Chalk 1 up for the NAM!

Congrats! The best type of snow is unexpected snow!

Yes, sir! Snow is falling here in Marysville, just 5 miles north of Harrisburg right on the west side of the river.

Snow is currently mixing in here in Marysville!

Both the 6z 3k & 12k NAM show some snow for many of us this morning. Hopefully this deform band moving through will mean business!

Good morning @MAG5035 , congrats on the snow! Do you think that the solid deform band with heavy precipitation in southern PA will changeover to snow this morning?

The chance of a changeover to snow tomorrow morning is increasing for even the LSV. The 0z NAMs & even the 18z Euro bring a flip to snow tomorrow morning. Even if it doesn’t accumulate much, it would be nice to see some snow in the air for a couple of hours. Here’s to the 12k NAM for the win !

Good Saturday morning everyone ! We might be able to flip to a little snow tomorrow morning according to this morning’s run of the 12k & 3k NAM. JB had mentioned a few times this week that he thought that there was a chance of a flip to a little snow for places north of the MD line with this event. He thought there was a chance because of the storm track & there being just cold enough air to cause the changeover. Earlier this week, a few models showed us getting a little snow out of this event. Let’s see if any more models agree later today.

I agree that the first week of December looks very active with plenty of cold air & winter storm chances. The 18z GFS gets our winter storm chances going at the end of next weekend. It would be nice to get on the snow board early in December. I think that we will have plenty to track as we enjoy our Turkey this week.

Yes, I agree. It all depends on the track of the initial low & then how quickly the primary low transfers its energy to the coast. The models will probably waffle back & forth for another couple of days with the track. Hopefully we are in a good spot to get a little snow by Saturday night.

It would certainly help to avoid the dreaded SE Ridge showing up. If the pattern ends up as relatively flat, with a general west to east storm track, we could luck into a light to moderate snow event with the help of a well placed & timed High to our north. If the SE Ridge shows up, then we just get watch one cutter after another.

That’s great! You & I will get accused of jinxing this winter! I also bought a snow blower a couple of weeks ago.

There are some light snow flurries right now in Marysville! I was not expecting anything today. Maybe we can see a little more light snow tomorrow night? The pattern looks to be very active later this week & Thanksgiving week. Hopefully we can time something just right & get our first legit snow event to track this season!

The 12z Euro Control run today has a Thanksgiving coastal snow storm treat for us as we prepare for our turkey feast ! Just as @MAG5035 said earlier, The pattern looks good for the second half of November. We should have chances to track for winter weather beginning later this week & into Turkey Day week. Oh yeah, here is the Euro Control Thanksgiving storm just to warm up our appetite for snow!

Yes sir ! The pattern looks ripe for some winter weather opportunities starting next week. The 18z Happy hour GFS delivered snow for next weekend! I would sign up for this & run !

Yes, my 25 minute drive turned into a 2 hour adventure back home. That storm turned out to be the most snow that we got in a single storm last season. The rest of the winter we had to nickel & dime our way to get to our 40 inch seasonal total in Harrisburg.

CTP likes the chance of seeing a little snow tomorrow morning. The latest NAM agrees as well. I am hoping to score a few tenths of snow & maybe see the grass or car tops lightly covered. At least we should see some snowflakes in the air for maybe a couple of hours, which is good for the first half of November!

Yes, absolutely frigid for the first half of November ! The 0z NAMs still like the idea of many of us getting a little snow on the scoreboard by Tuesday morning.

The 6z NAM puts most of Schuylkill County in a good spot ! I’m just hoping to see if snow for a couple of hours & maybe get on the scoreboard with a couple of tenths of an inch at MDT. Maybe it will turn into a car topper & cover the grassy surfaces as well.