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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    @pasnownut & all snow hounds on here, Please take a look at the 18z GFS ! It delivers snow next weekend around the 25th with a Miller B storm & then delivers a Miller A a few days after that. If this dream scenario unfolded as shown, we would suddenly all be ahead of our pace for our season average snow by the end of January. The upcoming pattern supports cold with an active storm track, so hopefully this fantasy run has the chance to become a reality. We will know for sure in 2 weeks...
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, we are on the line in the Susquehanna Valley on the 18z GFS. It will come down to temps in all layers of the atmosphere. Reading gets 5 inches of snow while Harrisburg gets .5 of sleet on the 18z GFS. It is that close. The short range models will give us a better idea over the next 2 days.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GEFS at least looks similar to the 0z Euro Op run. At this point, I would be more than happy with 2-4 inches of snow this weekend. We should have opportunities for better snowstorm chances over the last 10 days of the month.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS took a large step back on CTP snow. For now, I’ll just take the average of the super reliable Canadian & the good old Euro from 0z. That math should work out... Hopefully today the 12z models can bring more clarity to the weekend forecast.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Canadian agreed with the GFS & still brings good snow to CTP.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z GEFS still keeps CTP into the decent snow.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z GFS still brings good snow to CTP, but snow totals were a little less than 18z. It brings the snow in to the Susquehanna Valley by mid morning on Saturday. We need the leading wave of precip to pack as much punch as possible. Hopefully the short range models will ramp things up over the next few days.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS improved slightly from 12z today. Hopefully 0z tonight treats us well.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GEFS still looks good for Saturday snow. We have seen this countless times, where models have a “mid range crisis” 4 or 5 days out from a storm, only to then go back to what they had originally from longer range. Heck, even last weeks snow storm, the Euro had going strongly into the lakes, while the GFS was south & east. Then, in the short range, our snow event came back together. Hopefully the Euro gets back on board by tomorrow. Here is that 18z GEFS.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, it sure did make a good difference. The 18z GFS held serve again & said game still very much on for CTP ! It actually improved slightly for many areas in CTP.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, great post @MAG5035 The 6z GFS & GEFS held serve & look very good for our Saturday snow.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 0z Euro & Canadian. There is growing model consensus that most of CTP could be in store for several inches of snow on Saturday.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    It sure was a very nice 0z GFS run ! Here is a panel that @Itstrainingtime , @pasnownut & @daxx would also approve, along with the 10:1 & Kuchera ratio snow maps.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS & GEFS look great for CTP snow on Saturday. This has the chance to be our best event of the season...so far... Also, the good pattern change is just beginning. It would be fantastic to get out of the bad pattern on Friday & immediately get snow on Saturday. Many times, we have to wait for snow after the pattern flips. The pattern looks really good for the rest of the month into at least early February.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The overnight GFS & Euro, along with their ensembles, continued to trend better for a potentially snowier outcome for CTP. We will probably go over to ice during the second half of the storm, but if this front end thump occurred, most of us wouldn’t mind !
  16. Blizzard of 93
    CTP seems really confident in the chance of snow, especially for 5 days out. My point & click has an 80% chance of snow for Friday night for the Harrisburg area.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Euro Op & EPS Ensemble are both in agreement & on board for good front end snow next weekend.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, the quicker that the storm next weekend moves in, will be for the better for more front end snow. That 1040 High in Ontario should really help the cause. The secondary that the GFS is forming off off the Delmarva should help hold in the cold as well. The front end snow was very nice on the 12z GFS.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    # 3 - Another storm that looks inbound that I am extrapolating for the 29th.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    # 2 - The following weekend the 25th
  21. Blizzard of 93
    # 1 - Next weekend
  22. Blizzard of 93
    It’s right around when many models for the past few days have been saying the temps should drop- sometime Thursday or Friday this week.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS said “Let’s line ‘em up” to the winter storm potential over the 2 weeks!
  24. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GEFS had a nice uptick in good wintry solutions for CTP for next Saturday.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS is still good for next Saturday for a very solid front end thump of snow followed by ice then rain at the end.
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