Blizzard of 93

Ohhhhhhhh Canada!!! 12z Canadian looks very good ehhhh ?!?!

We have had on & off flurries here this morning. It looks like winter outside with the snow/sleet cover & flurries.

The 0z Euro & GEFS had secondary coastal development as well. The Euro again hit inland & elevated areas hard again with snow.

The 0z Canadian had the best look for the potential storm next weekend. It will all depend on the strength & position of the Highs to the north & the location of the development of the coastal storm.

@Cashtown_Coop Yes, with the final daily summary, they have the final snow total of 1.0 inches of snow at MDT. When you look at the hourly observation chart, after the snow changed to sleet, MDT had .27 of precip, most of which was sleet. I think that they didn’t account for nearly as much sleet as what took place when compared with nearby towns. In the grand scheme of things, this is not much of a difference, but when a place like MDT only averages around 31 inches of snow per season, it should count everything that’s possible.

Well, I’ll try to do my best. We just need around normal temps with some cold air in the vicinity this time of year to have a chance. Here is what CTP had to say about the coming week : “Upper ridge and elongated surface high build over the eastern U.S. early next week, keeping the rest of the workweek mainly dry with chilly temps 5-10 degrees below normal through midweek. Wed morning looks like the chilliest time before temperatures rebound back above normal Thu and Fri ahead of the next potential storm system. A trough will eject across the Plains and the Mississippi Valley by Saturday morning. This will provide increasing moisture and southwest flow, leading to the return of widespread precipitation potential by later Friday and Saturday.”

It looks like we are now done with this event in Marysville. I had 1.5 inches of snow & .5 of sleet for a combined total of 2 inches frozen for the event here.

Thanks man, I love winter weather & am always looking for the next storm to track.

@Cashtown_Coop , do you have any contacts at CTP to inquire about this? It looks like CTP didn’t bother to add the hours of accumulating sleet to the total at MDT today. They only put .8 of snow for the total at the 5pm update.

The 12z Euro Op developed a good snowstorm for the far interior next weekend. It was really good for west of I-81 & around I-80 to the north. This certainly needs watching to possibly get the rest of us in the game.

Looking down the road, the 12z GEFS is still very interested in next weekend for a potential Winter storm for us back here in the interior. It has a Miller B set up with a Storm developing along the coast. This certainly bears watching. We are at peak climo for temps, & there is some cold around. It just needs to be cold enough with a decent track.

That’s encouraging! Hopefully I switch back as well. Right now the sleet is pounding away. @Itstrainingtime , I just measured.3 of sleet, to got along with the 1.5 of snow, which brings me to 1.8 frozen for the event so far. I only need .2 more for your forecast to verify here !

Yes, it is also odd that MDT for the last 2 hours has had Obs of “Fog/Mist”, but has recorded .12 of precip combined in those 2 hours. Hopefully they account properly for the sleet for the storm total later on.

There was no sleet in Harrisburg for the storm if my memory serves me correct. I was only 15 back in 1993, but the 2 feet of snow & wind was beyond epic.

We flipped to mostly sleet with occasional light flakes mixed in around 2 pm. Surprisingly Epic sledding conditions with my kids for the last hour. As of 230pm, we have 1.5 inches of snow/sleet combo. Hopefully the heavy sleet gets me over the 2 inch mark later on for the event !

I still am holding onto all snow for now in Marysville.

Here’s one last look at the 12z Euro for this storm.

Heavy snow now in Marysville.

CTP recently issued this statement: Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 1153 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2020 PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026>028-045-049-050-056-057-063>065- 181815- McKean-York-Northern Centre-Union-Northern Clinton-Cameron-Elk-Juniata-Huntingdon-Dauphin-Snyder-Southern Centre-Perry-Potter-Southern Clinton-Adams-Clearfield-Cumberland-Mifflin- 1153 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2020 ... AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT ELK...NORTHEASTERN HUNTINGDON... DAUPHIN...CENTRE...SNYDER...EASTERN MCKEAN...UNION...PERRY... CUMBERLAND...CLINTON...ADAMS...NORTHERN CLEARFIELD...YORK... MIFFLIN...JUNIATA...POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES... At 1151 AM EST, an area of moderate to heavy snow was located along a line extending from 7 miles northwest of Portland Mills to near Reedsville to near East Berlin. Movement was northeast at 40 mph. This band of snow will drop visibility to under 1/2 mile. About 1-2 inches of snow is expected with this snow band. Sleet may also mix in with the snow in some locations. This area of heavy snow will be near... Weigelstown, Lewistown and Dover around 1150 AM EST. York, Reeds Gap State Park and Potters Mills around 1155 AM EST. Johnsonburg, Manchester and Mount Wolf around 1200 PM EST. Poe Valley State Park, Coburn and Wilcox around 1205 PM EST. Middletown, Royalton and Millheim around 1210 PM EST. Hummelstown, Woodward and Weikert around 1215 PM EST. Other locations impacted by this area of heavy snow include York Haven, Gardners, Austin, West Milton and Biglerville. This includes Interstate 80 from Clearfied County to Union County. A winter weather advisory is in effect for the area. Please monitor local media outlets and the national weather service for further statements.

Moderate snow started back up in Marysville about 10 minutes ago.

I am anticipating that your 2-4 forecast will verify! Many us now only need another inch or so of snow for it to verify at least on the lower end. Another 2 hours or so of decent snow should make your forecast verify.

Here’s CTP’s latest snow map.

Nice ! I swiped these maps from the Mid-Atlantic thread. The cold air at both levels seems wedged in much deeper over the eastern half of PA. Hopefully that bodes well for a few hours of good snow when the rates pick back up.

Here’s the latest Critical Thickness map.

Light snow continues in Marysville even during the mini lull in the radar. The snow should be picking back up in intensity soo. The radar looks to be blossoming & filling in rapidly in central & western PA.