Blizzard of 93

The 18z Euro just agreed with the 18z NAM & changes the LSV over to a several hour period of snow tomorrow morning!

I’m surprised that no one posted the 18z NAM, especially @Bubbler86 ! Maybe a few of will luck into some snow for a few hours tomorrow?

Don’t give up yet. Please see my post from earlier this evening. One of these storms will deliver for us. The last 3 years in March MDT has recorded double digit snow totals. We also have 3 weeks of February left to try to score snow.

Also, the 12z EPS had another good run. Most of this snow for the LSV takes place in week 2, but again the message is that there should be more opportunities for snow.

I don’t think that we are done with snow either. There are several opportunities in the pipeline. I think that things will bounce right for a couple of times as well. Speaking of opportunities, did anyone look over the 18z GFS ? There are several chances showing up over the next 2 weeks. I don’t think that all of these will produce, but maybe one or two of them will find us on the right side of the boundary. I like seeing cold Highs to the north in Ontario & Quebec showing up next week through the end of the run. Maybe we can get some front end snow to ice storms that we can do well here in CTP. #itsfarfromover

The next 2 weeks have the chance to become our best 2 weeks of winter to this point (which won’t take too much..lol) With All caveats & grains of salt aside with regard to ensemble snow maps at range, these 15 & 16 day EPS & GEFS snow maps are the best of the season. They show at the very least that this pattern could have some potential. Also, our first event could be arriving in just 5 days. More opportunities should follow the weekend threat. Let’s do this! #comebackwinter2020

The 12z EPS & 18z GFS Target the Southern half of PA with a few inches of snow early Sunday. I think that we are in a good spot for a few inches of snow out of this event.

Please sign me up for the 6z GFS for the weekend snow chance.

This upcoming pattern might be tough for the I-95 crew in the Mid Atlantic & NYC regions. We might score while they struggle.

The 18z EPS is fully onboard with our Sunday snow opportunity. There would be a few more hours of snow if the 18z EPS would go out further than 144 hours.

Haha! I will admit that it did feel great out there today! I will look forward to April weather, once we get to April...

No harm, no foul good sir! I’m looking forward to these last 2 months of winter storm tracking!

Anyway, sorry to derail the thread, but I felt the need to defend JB. In regard to your other point, the pattern should be very active. This winter might be salvageable if we get a few decent events in February. Then, if we score well in March just like we have the last 3 consecutive years, we might have a chance of reaching climo average. #dontgiveup #jimmyV

Let’s agree to disagree on JB. I think that he is great. A lot of major companies pay him for his forecast abilities. He must know a thing or two about forecasting the weather...

He is fantastic with pattern recognition & understands past weather patterns like few people in the business. He actually tries to analyze patterns & takes an in depth look at the past, instead of just relying on models. Yes, he can be wrong & has a heavy cold & snow bias, but his analysis is always very detailed, informative & entertaining. I have learned a ton from him over the years. His posts & videos make each Winter day interesting for me, even when the season is not going well. He loves snow, just like many of us on here, & he always provides hope that the pattern can change. I know that he had his detractors, but those like me who follow him each day know that his knowledge & passion for the weather is unmatched in the business.

Thanks. I think it’s going to be a very active over the next few weeks. With the -EPO starting later this week, we should have plenty of chances. We will probably be on the wrong side for some of the chances, but I believe that we can win some as well. Joe Bastardi today compared the upcoming pattern to February of 93-94. MDT had a top ten winter winter that year with over 70 inches of snow. I was in High School that year. I remember that February & March that there was a storm every week that would give several inches of snow topped with a little ice. Just to our south, these same storms in the I-95 area had mixing & rain. I am just looking forward to getting back in the game. Hopefully we get back on the snow board by this weekend. Then we will have 6 or 7 more weeks to make a run at climo average snow.

There is a growing model consensus for a possible snow event this weekend. The boundary storms finally all move through by the end of Friday. The last one still could end as some snow on Friday. Then colder air moves in for Saturday, which could set the stage for a later Saturday into Sunday snow event. The good news is that the EPS is now jumping onboard to this storm idea.

Things are about to get good, thanks to the -EPO that is coming soon.

There is still a lot to resolve with the boundary storms this week with regard to precip types, timing & final tracks. The models are getting interested in another winter storm chance this weekend that could be our best chance this week of getting a possible all snow event.

Nice post bump ! You said at the start of this thread to find you some snow.... Even if this week doesn’t produce, I think that we will have more chances over the next 2 weeks & beyond.

Happy hour 18z GFS changes that last wave on Friday to snow for all of CTP! Maybe it will be right or even half right for once ? At least it’s only 5 days out.

@MAG5035 I think that the EPO diving toward negative around the 7th and then staying negative through at least mid month if not beyond will drive the pattern. The MJO is staying week near the COD with the latest forecasts. If it stays muted & does not take a big loop way out in the warm phases, then I think the -EPO can drive the pattern. The EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles all agree in the -EPO heading toward neutral & then stay negative starting later this week. I think that the Operational models will respond more to this now that we are inside of 1 week for the EPO flip to negative.

It already stopped in Marysville. No heavy coating this time !

Congrats! Light snow has now Started in Marysville

That’s great! We are making Chicken Chili & Italian Brisket sandwiches for the Super Bowl. Today could be nice with “snow TV” out the window & the game later on !