Blizzard of 93

Nice! Congrats! The squall line has made it now to me in Marysville! CTP extended their Special Weather Statement to include parts of the LSV.

I saw something strange when I got back to Marysville this evening.... SNOW FLURRIES ! I was quite startled...

We have 5 realistic weeks to score snow. Hopefully we can time up a lucky fluke event or two before true Spring arrives in April.

The 0z Euro provided that chance for a warning level event, & it’s “only” 10 days away. I would sign up for this right now. Enjoy for 12 hours until the next full Euro run!

Thanks ! I’m still tracking snow for another month until the bitter end. In the longer term, the 18z GEFS had one one of its better runs in recent days. Just about all of the snow for the Susquehanna Valley falls in week 2. Maybe we will get a few events to track in March? At this point, I would settle for 1 good CTP wide Winter storm Warning all snow event.

The 0z NAMs looked very similar to the 18z run that I posted above. Let’s see what the rest of the 0z runs bring tonight.

The 18z NAMs liked the idea of changing over much of CTP, including most of the LSV, over to snow by Thursday morning. Some of the global models have also shown this potential on & off over the last couple of days. Maybe this time it will actually come to fruition ?

We might have a chance at a dusting or “heavy coating”, as @Itstrainingtime prefers to call it, on Friday from a weak Clipper. Also, the long range 18Z GFS presented some opportunities for a few snow chances between March 6th & 10th. Who know, maybe we will get lucky & score at least once in March? Heck, at this point, I will take my potential heavy coating on Friday & like it.

The 0z Euro Control Run has a winter storm for us & it is only 12 days away ! This is the 1 that we have been waiting for. Enjoy it for around 6 hours until the 12z run comes out...

Yes, they must just be trying to confuse people with semantics. The official government records will record all snow from the Fall through the Spring.

The official stats for the National Weather Service have always been for the snow season running from first flakes in the fall to onion snows in the spring. The official snow recording season won’t end until this spring.

Every measurable amount of snow counts in the seasonal total at MDT, whether it comes in October or April, or anytime in between.

What about the remaining 10 to get to the 40 inches before we are done ?

I still like the @daxx idea that I expounded on above. I guess that no one liked the way that I broke down the 40 inches of snow... ? Please let me know how you guys would like to get the 40 inches broken down between now & April 9th ? This is all just for fun in case anyone can’t sense my sarcasm...

I’ll take that ! Yes, 40 inches spread out over 5 events ! Let’s divide the 40 inches up like this.. 5 inches on March 5th from a juiced up Clipper. 20 inches from a Miller A coastal HECS around March 13th. 5 inches from a late developing Miller B that then crushes New England on March 19th. 4 inches from another coastal storm that just misses a full phase on March 25th. The Grand Finale on April 7th with 6 inches from an April of 82 type of late storm. Lets book it !

I would like to get at least around 8 more inches of snow for my yard & also for MDT by the end of this season. The chart below from CTP has the Harrisburg snow totals since 1980. Currently MDT has 5.1 inches so far this season. Getting 8 more inches of snow, which would bring the the seasonal total to 13 inches. This would then have MDT beat some of the worst clunker years such as 1992, 1995, 1998, 2002 & 2012. I think MDT averages around 6 inches of snow in March & less than 1 inch in April, so getting 8 inches over the next 6 weeks is certainly possible. The last 3 years have brought double digit snow to MDT & the Harrisburg area in March. My best guess & hope & dream is that MDT gets 5 more inches to get double digit snow of 10 inches for the season.

I was looking back over some old threads of ours from March of the last few years to remind myself that we still have time to score snow yet. We still have a realistic 6 weeks to score snow to avoid a total failure snow season.

I was just joking around due to the frustration with the lack of snow. Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got....It is totally out of our control anyway ! Just like rooting for our favorite sports teams, they are going to win or lose despite how hard that root for them each game. It’s the same thing with our desire for snow. We unfortunately can’t just wish it into existence.

Haha ! I was just posting about snow chances when you posted this! Never give up!

For what it’s worth, the 18z GFS has still not given up on the winter storm potential for next Thursday. It tracks the low along the coast with enough cold for snow in the Central & Northern Susquehanna Valley. Maybe there is still a chance with this one or maybe it is just Happy Hour merriment!

Lol... I was thinking the same thing... There haven’t been 8 days that my heat has Not been on all winter ! It’s been a mild winter, but come on... it’s not like we have had day after day of 60 + degree weather. Also, people seem to forget that November & the first half of December were pretty cold as well. One more thing on this topic, if it isn’t going to snow, then the temps might as well be in the 60’s or 70’s !

The 18z EPS, at the end of its 144 hour run, continued to provide hope that the next Thursday storm could track under PA.

The 12z Euro provided snow for many in CTP for next Thursday. There is still a lot to resolve over the next few days. If the storm tracks under us, we will have a chance.

The 12z Euro liked the storm next Thursday. It also looks to be setting up another possible winter storm next weekend. This could be one of the better chances that we have had in a while. The EPO looks to be heading down toward neutral by then, heading into slight negative range. The MJO is heading towards the COD. The GFS & Canadian have also shown this storm chance for next Thursday on & off the last couple of days. Hopefully we get a 2 week plus window to score some snow before we close the season.

The 0z Euro has a winter storm chance for us next Wednesday into Thursday. It keep the low under us with Decent Highs to our north. It brings a good swath of snow to all of CTP. Only 8 days to go... let’s see if this becomes something legit to track?