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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro coming in slightly better for snow & precip in the LSV over its previous run. Maps coming soon.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, I just realized that he 12z GFS precip map put a “blue” area of .50 precip right over ITT & MJS !
  3. Blizzard of 93
    For the LSV area, the precip difference between 12z & 6z on the GFS was mostly noise level.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Agreed, if we get moderate rates, we will snow tomorrow evening. The track is ideal to work with a marginal air mass at this time of year. There is not a primary low tracking toward northern WV this time.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, solid hold for the 12z GFS and in line with the 12z NAMs.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Great to see the NAMs joining the GFS this morning! The last big storm a few weeks ago, the NAMs did well at least with thermals, hopefully they continue & lock in later today.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Let’s hope for some model consensus today.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    I would love for the 6z GFS to be right for tomorrow pm… Hopefully we get some model consensus later today.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z AI EPS also shows snow on both the mean & median.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro AI shows some snow by Monday am.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Where do I sign for the 0z GFS ? This looks like some of the runs that we had several days ago for this Sunday pm chance… Let’s see if we can reel this in…?
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Very active 18z GFS run with multiple Winter storm chances after our brief warm up next week.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, hopefully models finally converge by tomorrow, but I would sign for the solid Advisory level event that the 18z GFS is showing for southern PA Sunday night.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Well, we only have the 6z ICON on our side this morning for the Sunday snow chance…. Let’s hope for a comeback at 12z …
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Even if this one mostly misses us, there should be more chances as the month goes on.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    18z Euro AI & AI EPS both keep hope alive for southern PA as well.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    18z Euro keeps the hope alive for the Sunday chance for southern PA.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    6z AI EPS still says that we are in the game for later this weekend.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS also has a light event chance on Sunday into Monday as well.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    6z EPS still brings a chance of light snow on Sunday to southern PA.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    18Z AI EPS - thanks to @Weather Will in the Mid Atlantic thread. For CTP, about half of the ensemble members bring at least light snow & several heavy hitters remain as possible outcomes.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    6z AI EPS beefed back up to what it had been showing consistently for days up until 2 days ago, but it’s good to see it back on board at 0z & especially 6z. The 6z Regular EPS is on board too.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    6z Euro continues to be on board with a slightly warmer & more tucked low position near the DelMarVa before it exits off of the coast. It still brings warning level snow to the Harrisburg area this run. If we end up with this track, I like our chances.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    If the 12z models are board, they will be updating again later today.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    It’s not me… I am showing what the models said… Also, I posted their discussion from yesterday evening & CTP was certainly monitoring the potential.
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