The 4 Seasons

i guess you're only getting 2-4 then, oh well

Let's go

Yes as Will said 12/14/95 is a farther south version of this. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-1995 The first one that came to mind in terms of sfc low track and overall qpf trajectory is 01/14/04. Though contrary to 12/14/95 this is a farther north version of that one. And synoptically at H85 it doesn't appear to be an analog on the list for CIPS. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-14-15-2004

yea. ill do a map for it eventually but i didnt include it in the archive since 3"+ amounts were confined to the cape and islands. They were supposed to get much more there too but still did ok

I do think, it's subjective of course, that 13-14 is a massively underrated season. It had a perfect D-J-F. The last minute March rug pull did burn a lot and ended the season on a very sour note which kinda spoils it, and the storm you just mentioned. Otherwise it was phenomenal from NY to BOS. Some really cold storms too that year.

Add RGEM to that list

2020 melted Christmas Eve/Day straight up through Maine with a 50s/60s pouring rain thunder stem winder. 2013 Not sure

Snowfall totals for the Tri-State Area for this 23rd event. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/tri-state-25-26

I got 1" and the sun was out by like 9AM and everything melted. Didn't feel like a "white christmas" even though technically it was.

Snowfall totals from this event. Overall the forecast was ok, large gap in pcp in NE/E CT, RI, MA though

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-25-2017

GEFS follows suit, solid bump NE on the qpf.

I will eat my hat if that starts happening, better chance of seeing the real Saint Nick tomorrow

Happy Hour bump. We take.

Could be right but seems quite a bit low imo

yea its been pretty consistent overall last few cycles

who did the first one

I mean it bumped NE overall so it looks better for everyone

That Euro run was pretty sweet for the LHV into SW CT and here.

Euro looks great S/SW CT special

What map? The forecast for the dec 23rd event?

This system reminds me of Jan 14-15, 2004. Low track diving SE and snowfall gradient are similar. That's the only storm that comes to mind with this event that i can think of. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-14-15-2004

I think you'll find nearly every met in the SNE forums will tell you don't use it. There's a lot more to snow growth and high ratios then just temperatures. You can easily get 8-10:1 arctic sand with needles and plates with temps in the 10s and conversely you can get 15-30:1 fluff with sfc temps near freezing. Kuchera is always gonna be inflated really high like this when the column is very cold. You can use it if you want, im just saying there's a lot more to look at than pretty kuchera snowfall maps.

Because it shows the most snow... The kuchera maps are ridiculous for the storm like nearly 1.5X or double 10:1 because its so frigid, esp N and W. When it's cold Kuchera will show a lot of snow. Doesn't take into account lift in the DGZ, frontogenesis or anything...strictly based on temps. I agree with the NWS and a lot of mets on here. I don't use it, it's useless imo.

0.66666:1 SWE. Epic. I'm working on a Tri-State Snowfall map now, should be done by mid-afternoon once i get cocorahs and coop. I went through the past 5 pages and got everybody on here. Thanks!