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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
do you have a full pack there? Surprised we still have a full solid pack here probably 3-4" of crusty meat pretty shocked the rain and fog didnt eat it all away. Makes this event better than just bare ground. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
good -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
looks pretty crappy and chopped up but thats what it's supposed to be, should fill in over SNE over the next few hours. You can already see the development happening over litchfield county and Berkshires as well as CNJ -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
damn, it has been warm in Weymouth lately.. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Stranger things have happened, ive seen it before. Jan 7th 2017 is a good example that was a suppressed whiff way off shore that came NW every run inside of 108hrs. But this needs a lot more work than even that storm, and that was a lot to ask. Worth watching thats about it, ensembles need to jump on board with not just NW ticks but some hits as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2017 GFS trend inside of 108 and it kept going -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here's what they're talking about..the HREF does have ens mean >1" per hour for east CT into RI and SE MA. seems really aggressive to me but if snow growth is good i could see 0.5-1/hr for a time i dunno about much more than that. I think Kevins area down to ginx is good for 1-2" total and probably NW CT hills with upsloping and possible squall line after that. Still think C-2 is the best call r/n for CT especially considering hit or miss squalls after midnight. Areas in E CT prob closer to 2 and i could def see far SW CT struggling to get more than flurries to a coating. I didn't break out BUFKIT for this one but i agree with them the snow growth looks good in the DGZ for CT. 18Z Nams are pretty wet with .1-.25QPF for most of CT -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
April 2021 was also a E/NE special above 500ft or so. But wasn't localized to just tolland county as a lot of the worcester hills did well and berkshires. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/apr-15-16-2021 -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Was there another very localized Tolland county event during this time (2016-2020)? Maybe im just thinking of the Mar 2019 storm but i thought there was another one that was even more localized to only tolland with 4-6" -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
OKX followed suit no surprise for continuity amongst the CWAs -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ill have to check it out. Anything's better than Direct Weather guy. I just checked that channel since about a year ago and looking at his recently thumbnails make me want to throw up. -
AI analyzing AI AIception
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
since 2003, cmon man, cant you read -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Winter 25-26, brought to you by Percocet & Vicodin -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
first thing i thought of when i saw that. I guess its just like a rolling 10 year stat they grabbed. I dunno, seems kinda weird but i get it. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here's the 5 main events from December 2025 if anyone needs a memory refresh: https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/lower-northeast-25-26 December 2nd: Interior snow/ice/rain event December 10th: far NW interior rain and snow storm December 14th: coastal snowstorm and cape special (and NJ/NYC) December 23rd: LHV special and N/NE MA December 26-27th: Snowstorm W-E gradient. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
just about, -0.8. pretty close technically BN but it's splitting hairs. 8.9 on the month, 9.7N -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I dunno, did you see the NYC thread on December 26th? I've never such a dumpster fire before like that -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The storm or December? I think for CT its been a good-very good December. Definitely the best here since 2020. Probably gonna end up around -5 for December, above average snowfall with many days of snow cover, can't ask for much more than that. Just speaking for CT and specifically S CT. Should end up around 12" for DEC here. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Technically.... 0.1"
