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The 4 Seasons

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  1. The 4 Seasons
    or Mariano Rivera?
  2. The 4 Seasons
    I suspect watches will go up with the PM package today, i imagine OKX/BOX/PHI will start of slow with the S/SE coast and slowly ramp up. Might just be for NYC and points south and BOX SE coast. Not that it matters, just speculating on what theyll do. Whatever the NBM is showing in the afternoon thats probably what to expect, probs over 40-50% and theyll be a watch there
  3. The 4 Seasons
    I'm sure the SREF-ARW would work for you, only about a 30 burger in Methuen to Beverly
  4. The 4 Seasons
    Lets see if we can even keep any pack before this one comes around here Snow depth at 7AM yesterday BDL-8 TF Green-5 Sikorsky-3 ISP-3 JFK-1 NYC/LGA/EWR-0
  5. The 4 Seasons
    man if the EPS looked like that, we'd be golden
  6. The 4 Seasons
    It's right up the top of the list with the AARP, WRF and Icon
  7. The 4 Seasons
    so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020 (but that aint happening considering the path)
  8. The 4 Seasons
    bruh, remember where we were 24 hours ago? Sometimes i can't tell the difference between you and Tblizzs posts. Howd you get so jaded was it those storms that ruined you...i dont remember you being like this years ago. I think a low end warning event is a huge win if that happens considering we were legitimately staring down the barrel of a whiff (which is certainly still an option though unlikely)
  9. The 4 Seasons
    im almost certain its a grid coding error. every day with a 30% chance of rain, even when its mostly sunny. plus theres no rain in the forecast on some of those days, and the snowstorm...and the zones look fine. Now when i click around it says 30% chance of rain/snow every day. Its mostly just the BOX area thats like that, OKX is fine
  10. The 4 Seasons
    ill be lucky if i see a few flakes
  11. The 4 Seasons
    being on here for almost 12 years, and seeing from who that post originated, i assure you, it was not
  12. The 4 Seasons
    yeah mostly same, a lot of BM (or hair SE) storms arent great here depending on the trajectory if they cross SW to NE over the BM thats fine like 2013 but if they swing a wide right almost due north/NE over the BM like Jan 15/22 then WOR can be in trouble. Theres obviously a ton of other factors but thats the general idea
  13. The 4 Seasons
    that was brutal, even worse here. Missed a 16-22" by about 15 miles to my east and ended up with 7" of sand. Jan 15 and Jan 22 were pretty big demoralizing storms though 15 was even worse. 22 i was at least expecting a somewhat shaft.
  14. The 4 Seasons
    One thing i can say for sure is we are miles better than where we were 24 hours ago. And that's a win. Could have been just as uncertain or a main model trend towards where the Euro was 24hr ago and that didn't happen.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    We are doubly screwed. I'm breaking out my wallet now, i gotta see whats behind that paywall!
  16. The 4 Seasons
    6Z euro looks almost identical to 00Z overall with evolution QPF slightly better for S CT and SE MA
  17. The 4 Seasons
    4-Day Trend We've seen the AIs been extremely stable in a lot of storms this season but this one isn't really acting like that. The AI-EC took a pretty huge jump NW at 00Z and has been bouncing around quite a bit. Getting closer in a imagine we'll start to see things start stabilizing at bit more on the AI front we'll see.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    lolz rip
  19. The 4 Seasons
    how much you expecting there? 0-T?
  20. The 4 Seasons
    All the good winters are usually exhausting and peppered in with busts, bad luck and wasted potential 14-15 was a great winter but exhausting and frustrating at the same down here WOR. Same with 17-18 many busts that winter and still ended up with near 60". Could have been 80-100.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah this is what you want to start seeing for the potential for a big dog, a bunch of members inside the BM tucked in near ACK. It's the first run of the GEFS to really do that. Mean went way up as expected 6Z 00Z 18Z
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Doubling down if anything
  23. The 4 Seasons
    6Z AI GFS is a nuke! Great run A foot from NY to BOS Back from the dead. Funny to watch this model go from a cutter to a complete whiff and way back NW over the past 4 days
  24. The 4 Seasons
    I wouldn't take anything the nam is throwing out at 48 hours even remotely seriously let alone 84. It's pretty similar to 00Z however. On the other hand 6z rgem is nice throws a lot of qpf back west. Looks a tick NW from 00Z just glancing at it
  25. The 4 Seasons
    I didn't think anyone would think that I took that seriously. Yeah it's obviously an error, grids are all fucked up in BOX. Anyway..
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