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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. damn 1.3 already in Orange (didnt it say Milford before)? wow. HRRR def blew it. So did the 00Z NAM. That model is so bad that it gets it right, then decides last second (00Z) to completely pull the rug. Nothings worse than NAM. 0.7" so far. Steady light snow. Should make it to an inch+
  2. Steady light snow everythings white hopefully we pull an inch
  3. would be pretty hilarious...00Z NAM pulls the plug but its previous run was more correct....typical NAM style
  4. Light snow, ground getting white 29F. I think itll be about what we expected. NAM/3K just pulled the plug completely at 00Z so it would be pretty funny if it ends up being a positive bust and more in line with what 18Z had.
  5. Did i say i believe that it is fully accurate timely report? I have to deal with BDR which is just as bad. But at the end of the day im going to use their climo data, it's official, it is what it is. I'm not going to change their numbers and just add an arbitrary amount to NYC or JFK or BDR or where ever. Also, its not that serious.
  6. Started as rain/mix changed to snow. Bust here we were under a warning for 5-8
  7. 1.6" is the correct number. 2.2 was their error in the pns. I just heard back from okx @LibertyBell
  8. Looking like a nice 1 to maybe 2" refresher tonight here if were lucky. Save the HRRR, every model pretty much clips us with an ~1". We're going C-1 for far S CT locally up to 2" right along the beaches.
  9. Good catch. i Just went back did some investigating. I didn't make an error. All my numbers do add up to 9.7". However it seems JFK changed their original report from the 1/19 storm from 2.2 to 1.6. That would decrease the amount from 9.7 to 9.1 which is what they officially have. I have no idea why they changed it for the official report after or it is an error. Also youll not that NYC recorded 1.6" for that event. I bet it was a book keeping error and they entered the NYC report of 1.6 for that 1/19 event instead of 2.2. I think ill tweet them when i have some time and let them know. Either they changed it for some reason or its an error. The fact its exactly the same as the NYC report from that date is also suspicious. Leads me to believe its an error
  10. Seems kinda low no? Even BDR has more as well as all surrounding locations. maybe you are missing some small 0.1-0.9" events?
  11. Thanks... yea Year To Date kinda impies just this year, so i say STD...Season To Date. i get the double entendre -ha
  12. yea thats what i have except for the very high elevation areas that are like 1200-1500FT around Orange/Sussex counties I just added yours
  13. We take the trends on the GFS & GEM for sure
  14. And really high snowfall storms with low impacts due to timing, not much wind and just a fluff bomb are probably Feb 2006 and Jan 2011
  15. i wouldnt disagree for impacts, but in terms of snow 78 doesnt even touch 2013.
  16. good ole reliable and consistent NAM
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