The 4 Seasons

Pound me town

Greenwich 95

Airport totals are really suspect from that storm. ORH and BDL specifically. But those were the official numbers so..

Possibly though 10-18" in W CT is still quite a lot I dont think you would get much complaints from SNE considering how that played out..The Boxing Day Fiasco. Underperformed most areas save Berkshires and that stripe from Essex to Bristol counties Tri-State might have something to say about it though - ha

Really missed an opportunity to call this Boxing Day II: The Wounded Duck Not a classic and historic nor'easter like Boxing Day but a large warning level event for a lot of SNE/Tri-State i think deserves the sequel name, especially if it over performs. OVC/25

lets go

You're in far Northern Middlesex i barely have you in the 3-6" range, honestly it could have been a little further south

Final snowfall forecast from us for the Tri-State Area. I know a lot in here won't like this but we did cut back for in and around the city and NNJ. There were several reasons for this. H6-8 averaged FGEN favors and area from LHV into Connecticut and Long Island, some variance with models but most have significant banding in this area Within this band Bufkit looks like snow growth may reach 15:1 or higher for a period of about 2-3 hours outside of this band it looks closer to 10:1 QPF amounts have cut back for NNJ and into the City Mixing possible/less consolidated snowfall banding the farther south you go With all that said we didn't change it too much just lowered from 4-8 to 3-6" and went 1-3" into Middlesex and Somerset counties and south. Let me know what your snowfall totals are after the event is complete and we'll see how we do...thanks everyone. @Sey-Mour Snow

i dunno it kinda sounds like you do

i guess you're only getting 2-4 then, oh well

Let's go

Yes as Will said 12/14/95 is a farther south version of this. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-1995 The first one that came to mind in terms of sfc low track and overall qpf trajectory is 01/14/04. Though contrary to 12/14/95 this is a farther north version of that one. And synoptically at H85 it doesn't appear to be an analog on the list for CIPS. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-14-15-2004

yea. ill do a map for it eventually but i didnt include it in the archive since 3"+ amounts were confined to the cape and islands. They were supposed to get much more there too but still did ok

I do think, it's subjective of course, that 13-14 is a massively underrated season. It had a perfect D-J-F. The last minute March rug pull did burn a lot and ended the season on a very sour note which kinda spoils it, and the storm you just mentioned. Otherwise it was phenomenal from NY to BOS. Some really cold storms too that year.

Add RGEM to that list

2020 melted Christmas Eve/Day straight up through Maine with a 50s/60s pouring rain thunder stem winder. 2013 Not sure

Snowfall totals for the Tri-State Area for this 23rd event. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/tri-state-25-26

I got 1" and the sun was out by like 9AM and everything melted. Didn't feel like a "white christmas" even though technically it was.

Snowfall totals from this event. Overall the forecast was ok, large gap in pcp in NE/E CT, RI, MA though

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-25-2017

GEFS follows suit, solid bump NE on the qpf.

I will eat my hat if that starts happening, better chance of seeing the real Saint Nick tomorrow

Happy Hour bump. We take.

Could be right but seems quite a bit low imo

yea its been pretty consistent overall last few cycles