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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Steady light snow, roads are completely covered here. Hovering around 32. -
Your Icon came way back N. Looks terrible verbatim for NYC which is why im assuming you didn't post it but a big hit for CT. Either way id rather have it trend in that direction than S again. Not that it means much coming from the Icon. This seems like a highly volatile situation and anomalous storm track. I don't recall any storms in the past that tracked like this giving a region wide warning event. I tried to look at CIPS but it seems they stopped running models on 12/18 for some reason.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
its not updated yet im sure, if the CWA south of them is going 100% snow and cat pops. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
OKX going with categorical "Snow." 80% pops for Friday, seems a little aggressive. Given the wild swings the past 24 hours. Hopefully some agreement tonight/tom and stability in runs. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah, GFS has been pretty juiced up last 4 runs. Definitely the wettest model by a lot. I don't expect 18Z to be much different. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-13-2024 Last big one in the historic storms section due to the swath of 12-16" it left. That was the most recent 12"+ storm in CT. Unfortunately nothing last season. In fact, all of SNE managed to go a whole winter season without a 12"+ event. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Last 3 were pretty much non-existent for our area. I Haven't cracked 20" since Winter 21-22. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here comes the cracked out NAM run, jacks SW CT and LHV. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
"...And Papi with the walk-off home run! We're goin to game 5." -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yea thats what i figured. i've seen a few weird ones like this in the past, and i remember one in November one time that was sub-advisory 1-3" but they put one out because it was the first one of the season, and it was right at rush hour. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches" -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Full SNE. Pretty much the same as the first call from yesterday though shifted the 1-3 line farther away from the coast in SE areas and up 91 low elevation areas. -
But what does the Navy say? Oh wait, it hasn't run since Thanksgiving. Guess it's hibernating for now. Good runs overall tonight, AI models as well. Big moves, good moves. MJO- No Access to MA? What happened, they banned you in the Mid Atlantic forums?
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah that 00Z run was completely cracked out and unrealistic. We had a similar type nuisance event almost to the day 4 years ago, Dec 24th, 2021. Similar NW-SE track and qpf trajectory, though interior MA should certainly see more snow than that one. I think we're all just tired of these and foaming at the mouth for a region wide warning event to satiate our snowless appetites. -
Dec 14th, 2025 just went up in the archive as the 2nd 3"+ event of the season with the snowfall maps above, a full radar loop and sfc/h5 images. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-2025
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December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
The 4 Seasons replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
Dec 14th, 2025 just went up in the archive as the 2nd 3"+ event of the season with the snowfall maps above, a full radar loop and sfc/h5 images. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-2025 -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yep, Northbridge COOP it seems. I noticed that too I'll keep that in mind, i want to redo all these next year and make them more accurate. Some of the COOP sites drive me crazy they are either suspiciously low all the time or suspiciously high and many of them ALWAYS report in whole numbers which also drives me crazy. Like Thomaston Dam, West Thompson Lake, Mount Carmel in CT are always reporting low and round down...to the nearest integer. Back in the day, especially prior to 2007ish and definitely in the 90s all there was was COOP. Another one is Lawrence, MA COOP it's always been insanely low and whole numbers only, while the Gardner COOP has been on the other end of the spectrum. Care to elaborate? Blue Hill, to me, appears like the snow magnet capital of E MA. They seem to jackpot a lot and do extremely well in marginal situations but it's not like their elevation is 1k+ or something, it's only 635 which im sure helps but not to the extent i see some of these storms and totals they have. Like March 4-6th, 2001, Feb 1-3, 2021 or March 13-15th, 2023 are good examples off the top of my head. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
that was a hell of a year, from straight rat to #1 for BOS all time. talk about a back loaded winter 150.8 at Blue Hill SNE Seasonal Snowfall -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
that makes sense, and thats why mobile sucks, watered down experience...but it's necessary sometimes. we've had this conversation before about 3 or 4 years ago pc vs. phone users -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
since youre off, maybe its time to update that sig, winter 18-19 is a little out of date -
Nope and thats where we blew the forecast pretty hard. i had 1-2/2-4 in areas that picked up over 6. Everywhere else the forecast did pretty well though
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
too early for -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The 9" is Barre Falls Dam COOP which is in the northeast corner of Barre. 12" is westminster from Cocorahs. and 7.1" is also cocorahs, Gardner 1.4 SSW. I'd include more reports from people here but unfortunately we no longer have the New England Snow page from Kevin so there's very few from here unless i know before hand what they are. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
doesnt fit, got 1.7" already in killingly from cocorahs so youll have to settle for that lmao updated -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
oh i put you at 3.5" just based on my quick thinking from last storm you said 1 and the previous 2.5, so i got 3.5 but i can quickly fix that. I have a town overlay so i put everyone in the middle of the town unless i know exactly where they are. ill change it to 3.8
