The 4 Seasons

That band over NJ/LHV just been rotting all night.

yeah im thinking i have my first shot at seeing a 20 burger. Thinking in the neighborhood of 18" which is the middle of our range, well see.

Bust. F winter

Toasters unplugged?

9.9 in New Haven as of 3:15AM 9.5" here at 3:45AM

A lot of wxporn out there right now...

We're gonna get whacked

This still looks very underdone to what is happening right now on radar. 3AM timestamp on 3k NAM. Most of the models seem way off and especially the low end stuff like RGEM and even 00Z GFS that keeps all the heavy stuff S of CT and only into SE MA

Appearing like im in a snow hole right now on radar but its still dumping nicely. That band shows no signs of slowing down, that heavy stuff should pivot right through New Haven/FF counties, well see Likely over 8 now

wayyyy off

Do you see the returns south of you? You're good to get a minimum of a foot likely 1.5ft. If you were expecting 24-36 I don't know what to tell you. Just enjoy the snow ffs.

10+ years trolling snow lovers, the warm kittys had a rough winter this year

we're talkin big time stuff here

some serious stuff about to rotate through LI

ill should easily be at a foot by daybreak

6.5" S+ Easily make it to 12 probably closer to 18 TTSN in NYC and near BID

yea there were massive massive red flags prior to that system with a lot of dry air showing up on 700RH before that system. The night before there were literally models that completely whiffed CT and some that had 12-20. This is nothing like that, that was truly a bad bust with ws warnings up to the MA boarder with light r/s during the day and an inch or two of slop at night

Radar reminds me a lot of Jan 2011 as the storm was pulling up

Final call, no change. 1-2' mostly region wide with 2'+ SE MA and Ocean/Monmouth counties

thats sick, very impressive considering its just wet here and we are very close

an inch in orange?? It rained here for a little while then some flurries non accumulating light snow

NAM is such a piece of dog shit. Worst model why i even bother looking at it, i dont know yea cuts back qpf over 60% around us in one run this close in, pretty hilarious

Shame all the good stuff with this will be happening over night, if we pop another Nemo or 2011 out of this id love to see that during the day esp with any lightning and 4"+/hr rates, chances are always low for that but still possible given how insanely dynamic this thing. It's ok we got our near-whiteout daytime 1-3"/hr storm already for the season

i feel you and I'm just having a discussion because I'm curious how people feel about this. I consider it all part of the "storm" from 500 to the sfc so if the same thing happens on the back side a day later from the ULL energy swinging through I'd count that as well. On the flip side i would count this on the front end. For example Feb 1-3rd 2021, the main part of the storm ended around or just before midnight on the 1st but the ULL parked there for a couple days and we got scattered snow showers/squalls that produced additional snowfall and that was counted. SeymourSnow got an additional 1.5" ish nearly 24-36hrs after the main part ended and that pushed him from 16.5 up to 18. I feel like the COOP and climate sites would add it to the final storm total. It's just personal preference i guess. This is another factor that contributes to highly varying snow totals in large long duration storms, along with clearing every 6hrs or greater. I'm curious what @dendrite thinks about this, should you add this mornings light snow to the overall storm total? Looking at cocorahs there's some towns that reported a few tenths up to a half inch this morning at 7AM.