Hopefully it's only 6-8 for Billerica
The colors look warm like spring. Similar to the colors on wxbell or NWS for 70s and 80s . First thing I thought of, May
Knew that was comin.
Latest NBM came way up, I expect those OKX BOX maps to be in the 12-18 range by morning
Probs increased significantly across the board
Finally something trended our way for a change. The Feb 1 costal, the Feb 15 coastal all had plenty of potential and enough cold air to work with but it all just couldn't come together. When you roll the dice enough times you're bound to hit
Lot of big dogs showing up on CIPS analogs as you would expect on the NAM 12Z. 2013, 2015, 2022, 2018 etc..
GFS isnt out yet but the 00Z run had a lot of other big ones like 2001, 2006, 2010
I suspect watches will go up with the PM package today, i imagine OKX/BOX/PHI will start of slow with the S/SE coast and slowly ramp up. Might just be for NYC and points south and BOX SE coast. Not that it matters, just speculating on what theyll do. Whatever the NBM is showing in the afternoon thats probably what to expect, probs over 40-50% and theyll be a watch there
Lets see if we can even keep any pack before this one comes around here
Snow depth at 7AM yesterday
BDL-8
TF Green-5
Sikorsky-3
ISP-3
JFK-1
NYC/LGA/EWR-0
so when do we start talking about the mix line? I can already hear folks bringing up Mar 2017 and Dec 2020
(but that aint happening considering the path)
bruh, remember where we were 24 hours ago? Sometimes i can't tell the difference between you and Tblizzs posts. Howd you get so jaded was it those storms that ruined you...i dont remember you being like this years ago.
I think a low end warning event is a huge win if that happens considering we were legitimately staring down the barrel of a whiff (which is certainly still an option though unlikely)
im almost certain its a grid coding error. every day with a 30% chance of rain, even when its mostly sunny. plus theres no rain in the forecast on some of those days, and the snowstorm...and the zones look fine. Now when i click around it says 30% chance of rain/snow every day. Its mostly just the BOX area thats like that, OKX is fine
yeah mostly same, a lot of BM (or hair SE) storms arent great here depending on the trajectory if they cross SW to NE over the BM thats fine like 2013 but if they swing a wide right almost due north/NE over the BM like Jan 15/22 then WOR can be in trouble. Theres obviously a ton of other factors but thats the general idea
that was brutal, even worse here. Missed a 16-22" by about 15 miles to my east and ended up with 7" of sand. Jan 15 and Jan 22 were pretty big demoralizing storms though 15 was even worse. 22 i was at least expecting a somewhat shaft.
One thing i can say for sure is we are miles better than where we were 24 hours ago. And that's a win.
Could have been just as uncertain or a main model trend towards where the Euro was 24hr ago and that didn't happen.