TSG

Ahhh I read 12Z as 12K. I was kind of confused by that wording but carried on anyway lol. Sorry!

I'm shitting on it above lol, but the 12k is great 24-36hrs out from an event. The problem is it keeps running past that. I specifically remember the northern crew rejoicing Sunday night about this 00z run.. I had a feeling it was setting people up for disappointment.

A friendly reminder to everyone what kind of hardware NOAA runs the 12kNAM on

HRRR is similar but less severe up your way. NAM3k is almost a non-event outside of favored spots/elevation. It's going to be interesting watching temps today. The HRRR is more accurate for down here rn, it has my area at 31 while the NAM is at 33.

is it within protocol to have a second one sitting in the freezer, ready for a precip switch or just reg 6 hr mark?

Amazing, one headlight and a rooftop full of snow ready to cover the entire windshield at the next red light

I think you'll beat that prediction. Back end precip looks to spread north between 10-12pm

you have less than 1.7"?

Uhhh hard disagree. there's already more snow on the ground in many of those places than what's on that map as a storm total 10 hrs from now

it completely missed the snow we got from the ULL pass in the early Jan storm

it's remarkable how many times this lesson has to be learned lol

Radar is playing tricks right now. Still under moderate snow down here despite the meager returns above

This happened with the early January 2022 storm. If high rate bands start training over 95, the crews will almost never be able to keep up. So then you get drivers coming either direction going at speeds appropriate for somewhat/mostly cleared conditions suddenly encountering a highway that's completely covered. Yeah.. good drivers would know to anticipate it but it definitely adds to the chaos. Also, 95 in NoVA is FILLED with MD drivers so don't be so quick to point a finger

Snow has taken over again in Charlottesville after about an hour and a half of mixed snow/sleet. holding steady at 28/27 since 2:30pm, 5mph NNE wind

And two more of the Corner

As requested @NorthArlington101 @WesternFringe The Rotunda The Lawn and a bonus shot of this old gal sitting victoriously on the top of O-Hill. Absolute monster in the snow except for that bumper clearance..

Heaviest snow I've seen since the 2016 blizzard when I lived in NW DC. Just awesome.

>40dBZ reflections inbound

Wow, already not an accurate depiction. Roads have completely caved in the last 30 mins. @adelphi_sky

Was looking at that earlier. Scared to flirt with it but I kind of need to know..

ripping fatties

Sidewalks starting to cave, a few slushy spots forming on pavement. Temp holding steady at 29/27. Heavier bands on the way in from the West. One thing to remember for those of you refreshing radar every 30s.. LWX has significant blindspots to the West, especially for low level stuff like this. The worst area is WSW pointing towards Harrisonburg and Staunton. In the summer it's not nearly as noticeable with higher cloud tops. You need to check the Roanoke and Charleston radars to get a better idea of what's headed over the mountains into NoVA.

I think that might've been Ji flavored sarcasm

This forum could be part of a case study about mass hysteria events