TSG
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Everything posted by TSG
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Recent January DCA Temperatures Appear Inconsistent with 1981-2010 Normals
TSG replied to RodneyS's topic in Mid Atlantic
Fascinating for sure and fun to follow along all these years. I was still in college when this first got posted and it really caught my attention as it was maybe the strangest weather related phenomenon I had ever come across/read about at that age. I hadn't even made an account on here yet, I was just a perennial lurker in the winter months. Keep it up Rodney! -
Cold smoke
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Hope I'm not explaining something well understood here... thinking this might not be common knowledge in the SE. You can see sleet vs snow pretty well using the correlation coefficient or diff reflectivity products. Rough sleet line outlines below for SC/GA
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Any CHS posters in here? Looks like yall are getting sleet-bombed right now based on radar
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Just wanted to stop in and say it's fun watching the show from up here in the mid-atlantic. Historic stuff happening rn
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19/1 Never made it above 20 today, forecast was 25. I wasn't expecting to see radar returns popping to my SW towards Roanoke . I have to imagine this is going to be virga this far West?
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I can't imagine we're going to hit the 25F forecast in Cville. Barely made it to 20F before the clouds rolled in 30 mins ago
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14/-2 Light NW wind has picked up after virtually dead air since 9pm time for bed
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What exactly do you imagine the world was like 100 years ago? In 1925 the first TV broadcast was made, quantum physics had already been discovered/proposed, and the first patent for a field-effect transistor was filed. Arguably the most important invention in human history. We had accurate thermometers... jfc
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CHO is down 7 degrees in the last 45! Slight southwest breeze here until about 7:45pm 37/32
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High temps look to bust about 4 degrees lower than the NWS forecast here in Charlottesville. Made it to 45 at 3pm but it hasn't moved since. Forecast was 49
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This is about the same amount of lead time before the 1/6 event that the GFS started to get a clue and hone in on the further south solution. We're obviously looking for a different trend here but good to see
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The HRRR is just completely lost with this ULL stuff
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Radar looks incredible
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Big fluffy flakes coming out of the sky under this I66/Rt50 band. Best I've seen all storm
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Correct me if I'm totally off base here, but wasn't the Euro kind of showing that 700mb band setting up across central PA back Friday night/Sat? See the Jan 4 00z run below. And then as a compounding factor, perhaps the precipitation depiction was just not as accurate up that way because of how dry the antecedent airmass was?
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That's exactly the time period I'm talking about. I think some people held onto that and then the ~48hr NAM showed a similar northern track and it was all over for reasonable consideration of the more southern solutions. And yes, it didn't get every detail right, but the end result was closer than what the GFS was advertising. It def nailed the central VA forecast
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Whatever makes you feel better dude. The GFS had the significant precip way too far north
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Not trying to make the northern crew feel even worse, I do feel bad for y'all, but this is the result the Euro was showing for days that many posters in here were heavily discounting/tossing. Remember it for the next storm! And don't ride the 48hr NAM!
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Flake size has increased a bit under these borderline yellows coming through fairfax
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@stormtracker Hope it looks like this out there for ya tonight or tomorrow. Pic is from the 2016 blizzard looking west across the Calvert Bridge Putting this in banter so I don't get yelled at
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Snow has started in Lake Barcroft south of Seven Corners. staying with my parents for this one, feels like college again
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I mean after this weekend lol. a potential big storm #3, snow on snow on snow
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This is wild. I didn't think we'd see anything close to 2010 again given the ocean anomalies the last ~8 years. I would be so happy to be wrong if this lands and we're looking at another threat 7 days from now
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You'll sleep a lot better the next few nights with that booked. That alone might be worth it lol
