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TSG

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Everything posted by TSG

  1. We've seem to be busting low on temps in Albemarle. Clouds stuck around for a while this morning and now we've got some wispy high altitude crud floating by as well. Forecast said 89 but we've only managed 84 as of 2:45pm. Same thing happened yesterday. Forecast was 82, high ended up being 77.
  2. Still haven't hit 40F in Cville despite having full sun since about 9am. This is one of the coldest late March days I can remember
  3. 81/54 at 9:30pm... I just turned the A/C on
  4. CHO 79/55 at 3pm. Back down to 75 now
  5. I'll be using that and the HRRR/NAM soundings to try and figure that out. This morning in Ablemarle the saturated layer looked to end around 950mb so I would think 2000ft is enough.
  6. That's a great idea... I might do that too. You think the Afton Mtn overlook on 64 has enough elevation? Or need to be up in the park?
  7. 68 under full sun here
  8. Ripping SN/SN+ in Hooville 28/17
  9. 84hr NAM posters deserve the "weenie" tag /rant over
  10. I noticed the GFS and Euro are considerably colder than the NAM3k. Are the mesoscale models going to be better at estimating this?
  11. Headed back down after a high of 30 in Charlottesville currently 27/1 under full sun
  12. Ice accreting quickly in Charlottesville... ready for the back end now
  13. Surprising seeing all of the reports of rapid warmup to the north. The cold is holding strong in Charlottesville, we've been floating around 21 for the past 1.5 hrs. Mix of sleet and freezing drizzle with this last hurrah band
  14. Anyone with the knowledge want to chime in on SLEET ratios? I've seen 2-4:1 listed all over, not a large range, I don't have a clue what influences that like I do snow. Are there specific "growth" conditions for less dense ice? Or is the upper end of the range the result of only partially melted snow?
  15. Absolutely dumping sleet down here in Charlottesville at 14F. One of the more unique weather experiences I've had
  16. The yellows flipped us quickly down here. Pouring sleet at 12 degrees
  17. We've wet-bulbed all the way down to 12F in Albemarle. Forecast low for tonight was 17. I like that! light to moderate snow 12F/9F
  18. Radar is lighting up over Albemarle and Nelson
  19. Temps are busting low down here in central VA. Forecast high was 23 for Charlottesville. Currently 18/-15 at CHO
  20. Yeah at or under 24 hrs. It's still in lalaland at this range. It's a lesson learned literally every storm and somehow forgotten by the next one
  21. why are we looking at anything the 12k NAM has to say past 48 hrs? how many times do we have to learn this?
  22. I think it's having issues with snow vs sleet/zr as well? Look at this 6z sounding over DC @ 18z Sun.. maps say zr. That looks like snow to me unless there's a sneaky warm layer in there
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