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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    Today: down to a temperature of 63 with a dew point of 39 here. I sometimes forget that the more dry air, like I was used to feeling out in Fort Collins, does exist as we get closer and closer to summer. The 500mb pattern is a complete mess
  2. Chinook
    Some info from the NWS at Boulder
  3. Chinook
    CoCoRAHS spotters measured as low as 1.05 to and as high as 3.65" within a couple of miles in the San Antonio vicinity
  4. Chinook
    I guess this continues the sort-of trend of wet Mays, going back several years. I probably just remember this trend because most of the months in my recent personal memories of Colorado haven't been rainy at all.
  5. Chinook
    This is massive debris
  6. Chinook
    Tornadoes in Nebraska
  7. Chinook
    The only time Fort Collins got close to 5" was the flood of 2013. Fort Collins had 5" in a week, Horsetooth Mountain had about 9".
  8. Chinook
    That's crazy
  9. Chinook
    Cole-Goldsby Oklahoma tornado debris signature
  10. Chinook
    this was the Newcastle area tornado
  11. Chinook
    I believe this was a confirmed brief tornado in the rain at Tuttle/Bridge Creek. It did not necessarily look like it was at a hook echo/RFD at all. Maybe you could use your imagination to see a hook echo in there.
  12. Chinook
    confirmed tornado 14 miles SW of Akron
  13. Chinook
    Denver storm reports as of 22:23z
  14. Chinook
    new tornado warning/severe warning for a storm(s) heading down the mountains toward Denver
  15. Chinook
    Illinois had all the fun. You know, the Midwest should really share. All I've ever seen since March is non-thunder. Non-thunder. Cold rain and non-thunder. I heard some thunder at 4:00 AM on 5/7. That's it. I was asleep.
  16. Chinook
    The convection-allowing models have several solutions of supercells and/or clusters of cells forming in Iowa, eastern Nebraska, and western Illinois tomorrow. The conditions near the warm front will promote higher wind shear, lift, and chance of tornadoes. Severe thunderstorms may get going in southern Illinois also. It looks like a higher wind area at 700mb will be a main factor in increased storm relative helicity.
  17. Chinook
    Here is the HRRR rainfall up to 11z. An MCS will hit a lot of places with heavier rain well after 11:00PM
  18. Chinook
    Here is a cluster of storms developing now in the enhanced risk section in Texas (30% hail and wind). They look like they are all developing into supercells. The 0-6km shear of 30 kt means the really should be struggling to develop into supercells, but the 300mb wind is a pretty reasonable 50 kt. It already looks like we could be seeing dozens of hail reports in the next few hours.
  19. Chinook
    There is a tornado watch for northern Missouri/ southern Iowa. This is a pretty big surprise based off yesterday's 1730z outlook which only had a small area of slight risk in Missouri. Tomorrow: (5/7) the latest update says enhanced risk for Iowa.
  20. Chinook
    where's the warmth? Northwest Territories
  21. Chinook
    The Blizzard of '93 started off with a squall line in the Gulf tied in to a strong 500mb shortwave, and also combined with a northern trough. But this isn't that. It's a bit of an analog as the GFS says the combination of systems results in a 981mb low in New York State.
  22. Chinook
    It was wet all day yesterday. And the forecast calls for just more rain. This brings a poem to mind: From January up to May The rain, it raineth every day From May again until July There's not a dry cloud in the sky as far as I know, this web site contains the whole correct poem, which is called "Dirty Days Hath September." But I'm not sure. https://www.workhouses.org.uk/lit/dirtydays.shtml
  23. Chinook
    what a strange arrangement of precipitation
  24. Chinook
    It looks like the northern supercell has tried to redevelop rotation near Hearne. This might not really lead to anything, as this system seems to be dominated by the linear features. The larger cell by San Antonio could track into town with large hail.
  25. Chinook
    Looks like the RFD may be taking over. The velocity was pretty classic for the last few minutes.
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