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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. this was a tornado that may have been brief (might mentioned as Greenbush, a small town)
  2. There might be a tornado getting going around Villisca.
  3. The 00z models pretty much get things going in mid-Iowa
  4. This morning's WRF-NSSL predicts a storm complex going into Illinois well before a main line of storms.
  5. Given the day-3 information, I would guess that there is a significant chance of tornadoes with discrete cells in the Midwest on Tuesday.
  6. 75mph wind measured near Wichita city limits, I assume that was quite possibly the same with some of the power outage areas mentioned Radar said up to 3" hail with the big tornado storm
  7. So far there have been many wind reports and hail reports, a 100mph wind at Salina Kansas, flood reports, one tornado warning in Oklahoma
  8. This supercell had the rear flank downdraft wrap all the way around, now there is an unconfirmed tornado warning.
  9. SPC says MODERATE risk, including 45% hatched for hail and wind in similar areas. The 45% risk for wind is about twice the size of the 45% risk for hail. (but not extensive)
  10. The 00z NAM already has a potent setup for the day-4 forecast (72 hours, Sunday night)
  11. This is measured by downtown-- 62 knots ( Houston Dunn Helistop airport?)
  12. I do not know if this was a TDS on the north side of Houston, but radar base velocities showed winds of 70-120mph in the rain clouds, close to the surface
  13. this whole tornado warning may in fact be a nasty combo of wind and hail
  14. that tornado warning on the squall line is now just 37 miles from Houston
  15. There's a new tornado watch centered on Houston
  16. the weather always has a lot of question marks
  17. I made a loop of the upper level charts, since this was a high-impact severe weather outbreak https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/May_5_10_2024_500mb_loop.html
  18. It was kind of neat to see 4 or 5 or 6 supercells with hail lined up yesterday from Mexico to Texas to the Gulf of Mexico
  19. Yesterday was a weird day with a couple of rounds of severe weather for South Texas. The first round was much earlier in the afternoon or morning. The enhanced risk seems to have been pretty good.
  20. Already 3" to 5" have rain fall in some areas north of Houston in the last 24 hours. NWS has flood watches from the Florida Panhandle to Dallas.
  21. Friday at about midnight. We probably won't see this for a long time
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