Chinook
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Everything posted by Chinook
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Rotation track for the Greenwood supercell
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Maybe some of your friends got this large hail
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Seems like these warnings in Wisconsin were all about wind threat and no tornadoes
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confirmed tornado near Davenport
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maybe my system couldn't display a number over 141mph
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possible tornado by Tiawah, Oklahoma, which is near the Tulsa radar
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It was pretty close to the radar, and I think I found that the base velocity was 140mph on the south side of the tornado, maybe the max base velocity that can be measured?
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tornado tracked about 17-18 miles in 12 minutes
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new tornado by Cambridge, north of Des Moines. (radar might have seen the initial circulation right next to the radar a few minutes ago)
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this was a tornado that may have been brief (might mentioned as Greenbush, a small town)
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There might be a tornado getting going around Villisca.
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The 00z models pretty much get things going in mid-Iowa
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This morning's WRF-NSSL predicts a storm complex going into Illinois well before a main line of storms.
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storm chaser seeing a tornado near Mustang
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Given the day-3 information, I would guess that there is a significant chance of tornadoes with discrete cells in the Midwest on Tuesday.
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75mph wind measured near Wichita city limits, I assume that was quite possibly the same with some of the power outage areas mentioned Radar said up to 3" hail with the big tornado storm
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here's the view from KFDR
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So far there have been many wind reports and hail reports, a 100mph wind at Salina Kansas, flood reports, one tornado warning in Oklahoma
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This supercell had the rear flank downdraft wrap all the way around, now there is an unconfirmed tornado warning.
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SPC says MODERATE risk, including 45% hatched for hail and wind in similar areas. The 45% risk for wind is about twice the size of the 45% risk for hail. (but not extensive)
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The 00z NAM already has a potent setup for the day-4 forecast (72 hours, Sunday night)
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This is measured by downtown-- 62 knots ( Houston Dunn Helistop airport?)
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I do not know if this was a TDS on the north side of Houston, but radar base velocities showed winds of 70-120mph in the rain clouds, close to the surface
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this whole tornado warning may in fact be a nasty combo of wind and hail
