Chinook

Typhoon Talim, now west of Okinawa and northeast of Taiwan, has been rated at 115 kt (Category 4 starts at 113kt) by the JTWC. It is heading for landfall in southern Japan soon with a wind of 100-110 kt. The storm should track over a considerable section of Japan. JTWC discussion mentions that it likely peaked at 127 kt a few hrs ago.

Those are some really good pics. Thanks for sharing. I don't think I'll see much unless the auroral oval gets to Montana. Doesn't seem to be happening.

I think we can safely say that the 12z GFS intensifies Tropical Cyclone Sanvu

The sky looked mostly dark in Wyoming, and I could see Venus overhead. As you can see here, the trees look black in this picture because there was zero radiation directly on the trees. We had totally clear skies, and I saw the diamond ring quite well. I saw a bit of the shadow snakes on a white sheet. I was amazed that the shadow snakes worked. Some of these places in Wyoming may have seen more traffic than they have seen in human history. People said it took 6 hrs to go from Casper to Fort Collins, coming home. I did not get jammed up on I-25 for very long. I took a detour to Laramie and then to Fort Collins. I still hit an eclipse traffic jam north of Laramie, on normally empty Highway 287. I did get heavy traffic on I-25 at 5:00 AM. That was so weird. eclipse in a box

60-day percent of normal precipitation and drought monitor for possible landfall areas, show a minor drought near Corpus Christi, but above normal precipitation around Houston.

Typhoon Hato intensified from 45 kt to 90 kt in a relatively short time (JTWC analysis) . Here is the typhoon on Aug 22 at 22:30z (which was morning for this part of the world). Hong Kong is just north of the eyewall. Macau is north of the eyewall. On the HWRF map you can see Hong Kong getting the tip of the 64 kt winds.

Phil Klotzbach tweeted this: After 14.25 days as a typhoon, #Noru has finally weakened to a tropical storm. It is 2nd longest-lived NW Pac typhoon on record (since 1950)

Typhoon Noru has been a named storm since 7/21/12z. It has 31 ACE units, the most in the year thus far, beating out Hurricane Fernanda. It has the highest intensity (Cat. 5, briefly 140 kt) and highest ACE of any storm in the northern Hemisphere this year. I believe it has been the strongest storm in the world since Super Typhoon Haima (2016) of 145 kt intensity.

On June 24th, Dallas/Ft Worth Airport had 3.84" of rain, which breaks a daily record. 7.93" of rain this month.

Fort Worth Airport had 2.91" since Friday morning. That's quite a bit of rain.

107-110 in Texas. heat indices over 100 covered an area from central KS down to Mexico.

Dallas Executive Airport (KRBD) had 1.10" of rain today and has already had 5.30" of rain this month, before today.

1 storm report in Oklahoma. What a tragedy

This is about 1-2 months worth of precipitation

Looking back 18 years in the past, to a deadly, historic storm of May 3, 1999. Loop of this radar is at US Tornadoes twitter feed.

Tornadoes seem to hate Oklahoma (again) this season. Back in 2014, a grand total of 13 tornadoes it Oklahoma through the whole calendar year, i.e. much below normal for that state. tornadoes haven't come much north of I-70 in April

The 00z has 42 degrees in Toledo with over 1000 J/kg of MUCAPE. That could be a pretty nasty situation with cold temps, thunder, rain, small hail.

The NAM has 65-66 degree dew points into SE Oklahoma Monday. My guess is that the SPC will issue a slight risk on Monday. Until a couple of days ago, the GFS runs had basically no CAPE for Monday. But now I think a localized hail/wind threat is possible.

SPC has an outlook (15%) for Day-4 Arkansas, Day-5, AL/MS/TN. The GFS has over 1000 J/kg of CAPE at 12z on Wednesday, in Arkansas. Synoptic details will probably change a lot, but that's a lot of CAPE for 12z in the winter.

Thrall, TX

I have not heard of any damage report, but here is the warning - THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... * UNTIL 1115 PM CST * AT 1038 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SAN ANTONIO INT AP, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

I figured this might be relevant for anybody interested in Houston's heavy rain.

There is a reference to CASA radar in this tornado warning. This could be a dangerous situation if there is a tornado on the ground near the metro area. (not sure if a tornado is on the ground)

tornado reported at Laguna Park

The SPC has put out a slight risk for severe weather in mid-Texas tomorrow. Some NAM forecast soundings west of San Saba at 00z Monday (36 hrs) show 1000 J/kg of CAPE, 59 kt effective shear, 410 m2/s2 effective SRH. Convection-allowing models all seem to have a squall line around San Angelo.