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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. At the risk of semantics...SO perhaps not "simple" but rather simplER? That is if you were to compare overruning to a phase event which is easiER? @CAPE or anybody else have thoughts on that?
  2. Is it just or does the stj seem to be waking up next week on the models?
  3. Overrunning is the simplest way outside of a classic Miller A. You aren't worrying about any messy wave interactions--just moisture into cold air. And I believe we had that happen a time or two in 2014.
  4. The troll job last February was just another indictment of angst against it. Gonna be the good news model for a change show folks for 2 days and then say oops sowwwy--it invented a new way to troll!!
  5. With the other models they all backed off of Saturday and got better for Sunday. If the Euro backed off of Saturday here...it can either stay exactly in this spot or get better from here. We'll see...
  6. What the frickle is that??? Edit: Nvm I'll save that for banter
  7. Well at least it did tick the right way at 18z...now we'll see if that's all we get for the day or if we can get even a tick or two better. Or maybe I'm just a lunatick
  8. Pivotal was already out to 87 on your first post
  9. Looks like it's tapping more gulf moisture this run
  10. Hey at least it runs a half hour earlier now, lol
  11. Yeah it's just plain old looking to see if there's agreement. And this evening that has moved in a positive direction
  12. I can just hear the Pokémon evolving music with this...lol (iykyk)
  13. Hey is there any fix to the "yes yes" emoji? The image has been glitched out for awhile
  14. So does that actually make a difference in the accuracy of modeling? (I'm assuming it does?)
  15. Lol But I am curious...is that actually a thing?
  16. It's a hold. But the bigger thing is it's still on it's own so this analysis may not matter tomorrow, lol
  17. I'm guessing it's too soon to have any clues as to where in the basin the Niño will set up in terms of weather, central, or east? (or Modoki)
  18. I guess 0z will be telling...if it gets drier then it could be backing off
  19. Given it's performance I'd lean more towards this being a step towards the other models. Low looks further east to me.
  20. Sounds like we offered him an identical deal too, smh Guess he had other reasons for choosing them!
  21. Is it though? I mean has the GFS been terrible or no? I'd argue that's a fact--we hoped it was onto something for tomorrow but it was wrong then too, lol
  22. You contribute more than you know. I've been meaning to ask if you are thinking about studying meteorology--you seem to have a natural understanding of things!
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