Maestrobjwa

Sometimes statements like this I can't tell if it's a weenisim or a legit thing, lol

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February. BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

Well for starters...this And this And other such recent runs looking better up top and still the same crap in the middle.

Feb 22nd/23rd "There's now way..." Obs Thread

Obs thread. Eyebrow no longer raised but furrowed for now...6" snowfall in Baltimore or else my contention about the last week of February being bad fortune for snow stands, lol Hoping for things to work out! Congrats to all who score!

Tbh I don't feel like it, but okay I will. Hang on

I never bought the GFS entirely. However what I was hoping for was that with everything trending west to it, that we'd see the coastal extend over the bay more. But it seems to have hit a wall even while other elements of the storm have trended better. That is what is disappointing

Oh trust me I know--I've seen it even in the smaller storms. Problem is I'm so far from even the notion of moving from where I live because of various circumstances. So am stuck in this climo, lol

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

Yeah I know. Imby sport of course...

This is why I'm losing what middling enthusiasm I had for this. I don't care how tucked it is--if the coastal moisture isn't getting here I'm not interested because the norlun thing is for the elevations. 4" slop is not exciting.

So 3" to 4" (and 4" to 5" in DC)? While west of here doubles? That's not improvement. Haven't been in the pinks or purples on the euro all day.

And yet...these "improvements" don't seem to be changing much for Balt/DC. Snow maps still end up looking the same while improving west.

It's the reason the storm is happening this way so it's completely relevant, imo

I swear the only thing you pay for is getting stuff 10 mins sooner, lol

Hahaha You and me both. I hope I've paid my dues of being gipped in the middle and can actually catch a break this time

Alright so in order for me to have snow egg on my face, the final result has to reach warning level (5"+) or else it's still a bad luck week for snow

At least you can actually USE your elevation now unlike the last 5-6 years!

Alright so someone give their best guess for Baltimore. Legit don't know what to think of this anymore, lol

Bruh look at this mess. That is straight trolling (mind you I'm in Baltimore).

Yeah see this is the part of tracking where I legit get a bit turned around with all these various maps and models and knowing how to estimate where my yard stands. Especially in a marginal setup. Like some are weenie and some are terrible...and the you got the globals still. So for example if the NAME shows 15" how do I mentally turn that into a realistic forecast?

This hurts my Baltimorean feelings. Whhhhy must I always be in-between?

Does it matter much atp? Lol

My issue with the models showing 6" is that you know because of marginal temps it's gonna be less than that due to low rates...and we wake up looking a sloppy 3" of snow Monday morning. So it's basically WWA except for Mt. Psu. Not exactly a great consolation prize. See even though I know it's climo and par for the course, it still sucks seeing them get their HECS while we are likely to go another year without one. It'll be 11 years next year. If we hadn't gone so long it wouldn't suck as much.

Maaan it feels like we are gonna get unlucky with this thing and watch it slip off to the NE while we caught in between with rates not quite enough with the marginal temps. I'd love to be wrong, but looking at 6z so far and the 0z Euro and AI? Starting not to feel it...