Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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True or not, you might not wanna go there here.
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I'm always ready for a debate on the futility of March snow. This list of snowfall totals from the last nine Marches tells the whole story: It was difficult enough BEFORE this...but since 2016? One year where we nickel and dimed our way to just over 6. And I get slightly annoyed when folks bring up March 1993 as if a super rare generational storm is an example of how you can count on March snow if the rest of winter doesn't work out.
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Hence why I said dust, lol
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Hey hey that northern vort helps to spread the dust to everybody
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To my novice eyes...the warmup doesn't seem to want to stick around too long on the modeling. Doesn't feel as hopelessly stuck as other years. We shall see...
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See this is where the forum divides. The snow climo for south of Baltimore to NOVA has been better for almost 10 years. The person who made that joke thread for the northern half of the forum wasn't completely wrong!
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Bring it on! See this is why at first I wasn't even gonna give this winter the time of day and just track the PDO ahead of what looks like a possible niño next year (but then the cold and slightly snowy start reeled me in, lol) I really want us to have a better swing at than the hostile -PDO of the 23-24 niño that couldn't do jack diddly. I feel more confident in next year breaking our above average drought than this year.
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Happy New Year everyone! Let's remember not to let the weather get us down too much this year--believe it or not there can be other things to look forward to even if things don't go our way God bless you all!
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12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
Maestrobjwa replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Happy Birthday and Happy New Year to ya! Great snow real estate ya got there--that is awesome!!! -
I know where this is going for my yard if it amplifies...y'all could be in the game though!
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After all the numerous can kicks of the last 10 years, I sure hope so...goodness gracious. Yeah if we aren't seeing it move up in time by next week ya gotta wonder.
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Wait...how? Lol
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ICON a little further north as well.
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That piece of energy has been there across the modeling...but it's always just passed by to the south so I barely noticed it. That there was the first time any model brought it further north.
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Well we got a nice dopamine hit yesterday, lol Now we gotta see if this was just a little rushed or if it's the proverbial can-kick. Kinda feel like we oughta know by next week. If we get to next week and Day 8-10 looks like we gotta punt them too then there might be a problem (maybe). All we can do kow is wait. Like I said yesterday...now may be a good time to take a break
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I legit feels like it's a subconscious thing very few have mastered, lol
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This actually may be a great time to take a break and come back on Friday, lol
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Funny enough I think that was on a little of analogs somebody shared yesterday about for this window.
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Ahh so it's dissemination! (I remember it saying that when the Euro had an issues a few weeks ago that delayed it for a little while)
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It seems to be having a few (initialization?) issues the last couple days or so.
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I'm just trying to just take it as it comes--and also that everything will be fine if it doesn't work out for whatever reason. We've been through enough fails that we know we'll complain for a couple days then be fine. But what we can't do is let our brains start "Yayyyy this is real now!!!" when it isn't yet...it just makes the swings it worse when if/they happen, lol Alright that's my 2 cents on the psyche side--no more of that
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Listen...treat it as potential and nothing more. It's not real right now. Don't get too high on it--that's when the problems start on the emotional side of things.
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When is the last time it snowed on New Year's here?
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Not sure why this got weenied...I mean that's what current guidance is showing. BUT, I guess this kind of thing could trend a little stronger as we get a little closer...we'll see.
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Oh yeah I was just talking about them the other day--they are a really sneaky threat to surprise in the playoffs. I mean almost nobody is even thinking about them!
