Maestrobjwa

Right there with you. It ain't right, I'm telling ya...a whole generation is going through their childhood without knowing what it's like! I was blessed to have a childhood with 1996, 2000, 2003, and 2006. But this time? I mean dang over a decade you'd think ONE time we could get something more than an inch or two to work out. And our yards in particular! There's some imaginary snow shield or something, smh I just don't get it, smh Yeah this one is far from resolved but you can't but feel like "Here we go again" when you see a model showing an unfavorable solution. Even the dang Ninos we've had in 18-19 and 23-24 didn't do jack diddly SQUAT. I mean we likely have another one coming next year so maybe we can try that again but man...rough!

Yeah because unlike then this one has had more agreement overall. But again this is a nina so these things are more likely to happen. I just hope we get a couple more swings at it in case this doesn't work out

Always possible since ninas gonna nina. What looks straightforward on the outside still has complications on the inside...oof. The AIGFS going south was discouraging...

Yeah but that news is being tempered a bit at the moment... ai runs are more south this afternoon, smh

Is that the earliest piece of this we gotta watch to make sure it goes right? Lol

Wasn't even depicted that high on today's guidance, lol

@Ralph Wiggum mentioned in the other sub that across all guidance the high weakened slightly from thr 1050s to 1044 at the most

I think that'll be good for both our subs...because a weakee high would lessen suppression risk, right?

Feb 20th?

Yeah ya don't have much choice especially if there are other things to track too, lol

Hey, as long as I don't see suppression I'm good. Because if it's amped like whst is being modeled now...it's possible that everybody will have a chance to have their biggest snowfall in a decade. Let the jack zones roll

So what sounds like a pretty decent bump north, no? And hey...if 8-10" is the fringe job? I'll take it (while still being only slightly jealous )

Her name is...Folksia

Always something to keep in mind...(What was Feb 2006? An overruning event, or?)

That would still be my biggest snowfall in 10 years! If that would be a "fail" scenario, then that would be a heck if a consolation prize.

Oh okay. PBP fail @bncho -- you said it was technically a shift south but it actually ticked north! Dropping your grade to a C+

Except for the GEFS and EPS...would really like to see those on board too

Sweet mercy that's a lot of orange sherbet! (TM)

Listen I will happily risk amped over suppression any day...keep that ampin' and rampin'!

What got in the way of a clean phase?

You'd think! A fail would just be bad luck i.e. a random anomalous high at the wrong time. But hopefully not!

Always, smh Although it has been awhile since we've had this kind of moisture from the stj during a nina...so you'd hope that would help. But then ya got that dang high pressing (not sure if that's a random NS thing or not).

Well I was thinking that if the anomalous strong high was gonna verify and keep pressing we'd start seeing more and more suppressed solutions by then.

If it fails I'm not sure how much of a "rug pull" it'll be seeing as we could very well know by 0z tomorrow whether suppression (the biggest fail risk) is gonna be an issue or not.

Yeah I'm having a hard time believing those, tbh. Until we see less suppression from the regulars it'll be hard to buy it