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Everything posted by das
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Great screen name, btw. “There’s nothing quite so bad as that which is not so bad”.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
das replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
In Clarksburg:. Sorry for the craptastic formatting on this phone 6.1" 30jan10 5.6" 02feb10 28.0" 06feb10 15.1" 10feb10 0.2" 16feb10 0.3" 25feb10 | -
Just shoveled the 2.1" from last night. Season total is 29.0" now. We just went above freezing and it feels like it's 70ºF out there. Bleh. Here comes the big melt. I wonder if any of the 7" OTG here will survive thru Sunday...
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2.1” last night before the warmup starts in earnest this afternoon. 7” OTG. We’ll see what, if any lasts before cold air moves back in on Sunday. Charlotte, VT,44.29°N 73.24°W2023/24 Season11/1 0.1”11/9 2.1”11/19 0.2”11/21 3.1”11/26 0.6”12/4 0.4”12/11 0.9”12/13 0.1”1/8 8.4”1/9 3.4”1/11 0.7”1/14 0.3”1/16 6.1”1/19 0.5”1/24 2.1”Total: 29.0”
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Um… :slowly raises hand:
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You can see the NW flow streamers LWX talked about in their AFD starting to form over WV. It’ll be interesting to see these extend to the SE over time. Pretty cool.
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I just measured 4.0" new. So, I am now over 10" on the season. Just under 7" on the ground with the snow from earlier in the week.
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The inverted trough modeled on high rez guidance has been hinting at this for a few days. Setting up somewhere between NJ and central MD. They are very small, from a meso perspective and hard to pinpoint but the the forecasters are seeing evidence that it may set up at the southern extent. That'll be the jackpot zone.
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Really? I'll have to go measure again. Mine was a decidedly non-scientific single measurement between meetings in one location next too the house. Thanks for the flag.
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If we can't get it done this year, then all of the forcing mechanisms and associated indices we've come to trust over the last 30 years will need to be normalized to whatever this new normal is.
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I was in VT for Tuesday and down here for this. I am a snow magnet. If you want snow, just invite me over. Payment can be made in beer and snacks.
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Checking in from the house in Clarksburg! 3.1" new on the ground so far. 26.1ºF and no wind. When I came down on Tuesday, I got to see how a northern airport (Burlington, VT) conducts ops in a snowstorm. It will be interesting to see how DCA is doing when I fly out this evening....
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Steady, constant light snow since 2pm this afternoon for a whopping 0.3”. No melting, either. That’s just how light the snow has been the whole time. IMG_8516.mov
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And, the total for the anti-ski area of Charlotte down here at 284’ in the Valley was 3.4”. A decent front end thump.
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1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
das replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
And, the more it snows, the more capacity the OTG snow has to absorb the upcoming rainfall without washing away. In a perfect world, the dryslot cuts off the spigot early. -
1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
das replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Starting the very first steps of transition here in the northern Champlain Valley. IP/SN mix when rates are low, all SN when it’s ripping. The dual pol CC line is still way south tho. 3.1” storm total so far. Temp up two to 32.1°F -
1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
das replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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1/9-1/10 Now Morphing to Less-Than-Exciting Power Cutter
das replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Steady, light snow for the last hour here in the Champlain Valley. 29.4ºF after a high of 30.1ºF. Winds ticking up to SE at 13mph. -
8.1” here is now 8.5” with the last few hours of highly blocked snow showers. Every dendrite is standing on end on top of each other to get that 0.4 inches. Ha.
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8” was the total here in Charlotte, VT. Only had 2.1” from the WAA snows overnight but the UL trough and embedded shortwave really delivered today. Nice. One more vorticity lobe should pivot thru later and, coupled with blocked flow, should squeeze out another 1/2” before midnight.
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1.4” up here 18 miles south of Burlington, VT in the valley. It took 3.5 hours to measure an inch. I’ll be happy with 3” by morning so far removed from the low/forcing. Then we’ll see what we can get with the UL trough moving thru late morning. Temp up a degree in the last 4 hours to 22.8°F on NNW winds of 3mph. It’s been 100% perfectly formed six-sided dendrites the entire time. It’s been a long time since I’ve seen that. Not a single plate, needle or conglomerated bunch. Have fun down south there with the frontogenic forcing pivoting in and east tonight! See y’all in the morning.
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