osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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It’s naturally bound to happen in a forum that covers so much geographically, but where the large majority of those in the forum live in a relatively small area. Also, the region covers everything from the mountains to the coast, so it’s almost impossible that the entire region ever experiences the same results from a snowstorm.
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The lack of self awareness is really something to behold.
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It does.
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I’m not even sure how much I want the snow now. I just hope you have to build an ark for your flood down there.
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Euro still keeps the HECS scenario in play. Has there ever been a storm with this kind of result, though? A storm that destroyed that specific area? Not one that comes to mind. Usually it’s either a southern slider, a region-wide hit or it’s one of those coastal scrapers in Nina’s that hit the beaches, NYC and NE.
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My kids were born in 2015 and after. They’ve never seen a big storm. The ingredients are there. 12 is fine, but it’s not a big storm like 1996, 2000, 2003, 2009. 2010, 2016. I want to them to get to see a big one.
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Snow predictions at the start of the season are irrelevant at this point. The ingredients are there for a rare HECS after 9 years of mostly trash winters. Gotta convert. It’s like getting to Super Bowl and getting blown out and being happy you made it there.
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The good runs?
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Meh. Not a great trend on the Euro the past two runs.
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Uh oh
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The good news is in another run or two, we will no longer have to worry about extrapolating the Euro at 6z and 18z.
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LOL that’s noise. There’s almost 30 inches just east of the metros.
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LOCK IT UP! Why can't it be Wednesday already?
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SECS=6-12 MECS=12-18 HECS=18-30 BECS=30+
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I think we should just do February 2010 over again.
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Yeah, that looks a lot more like what the GFS looked like at 12z.
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I always love your optimism.
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I think you beat me by about an inch. I'm sure there was some compaction at play but I ended up right around 3.5.
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I think we will get to 4. Not sure about 5 or 6.
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That’s awesome! Congrats! You guys are getting the goods down there! Enjoy!
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I think it’s just going to miss us southeast unfortunately, although I think you are in a better spot than me for this one and will make out better. My move out here has not paid off so far lol. Maybe next week! I’m guessing I can make a run at 4 if it can generally snow like this through midnight.
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Significant icing Wednesday? I thought that had gone away? And I didn't think it was ever something we would call significant.
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I don't understand all of the bust talk. The Euro/GFS/NAM all look solid for DC and ok for the 70 and south crew. Could it bust and the HRRR be right? Sure, but that would be a huge model bust among basically all the best models. Even CMC didn't look that bad IIRC.
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Lock up that NAM run @WxUSAF. I'd be thrilled with 6 inches. My fear is we get half that.
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Looks worse to me. Looks south again.
