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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    It tries but it never really does. Those HRRR advertised rates were hilarious.
  2. osfan24
    Oh man, that band kinda weakened and accelerated as it got to me. I think an inch is going to be a tall task now. Appropriate for this winter.
  3. osfan24
    That's me, basically! Waffling between light and moderate snow now.
  4. osfan24
    Light snow here now. Looks like that band has made it to my doorstep. Let's see if it is legit or not.
  5. osfan24
    Yeah, I am getting very light snow here, if you can call it that.
  6. osfan24
    I really hate this winter with a passion. So much hype. Just a bunch of teases. I don't think it would have been an epic winter to this point, but it would have been a really good one if some of these perfect track storms would have been snow. Sitting here waiting on the dryslot to fill in while I can see the back edge flying east. Looks like I am going to get one little band out of this for 45 minutes to an hour and that's it. Dumbest hobby ever.
  7. osfan24
    I thought some of the models showed that possibility. We just chose to hope it was wrong, lol. But yeah, I know the HRRR showed by 7 am it was snowing basically all the way to the bay, which means it was probably snowing where I am well before that. And I am still waiting for it to start. Punting 1/3 of the time it was supposed to snow is not great, lol.
  8. osfan24
    Euro probably going to win this one. RAP and HRRR wayyyy too bullish, not that this is some big surprise, and GFS was probably a bit too bullish as well. The northern tier should be able to grab a few inches out of this, however, which lines up pretty well with the king.
  9. osfan24
    Dry slot just won't fill in. Probably going to be an hour later on the onset of snow than it should have been. Can't afford to punt an hour of snow when it's only going to snow for 3-4 hours. Guessing I end up with a dusting to an inch. Nice band out by Frederick and Leesburg.
  10. osfan24
    It better snow like crazy once the dryslot gets out of here or this is going to bust low. I think the Euro may have been right.
  11. osfan24
    Gonna channel my inner Ji and say the only time it has that much impact is when it isn’t good.
  12. osfan24
    Well, this is depressing. Guess our HECS chances this year are just about cancelled.
  13. osfan24
    Yeah, if the models were flipped and they were trash and Euro was good, we would be hugging the hell out of the Euro. It's been a rough winter and looks kinda bleak now the rest of the way. The mesos for this one are the only thing we have. I am fully prepared to be heartbroken.
  14. osfan24
    Isn't that just rates? Euro just seems drier overall. I think the question is whether you buy the mesos with the intense dump or is that being overplayed and the Euro is correct with less intense rates? Or maybe something in the middle, which seems like the GFS.
  15. osfan24
    Even Brooklyn has vanished.
  16. osfan24
    Seems so close to a big thump for Baltimore metro area. DC has a bit more work to do but not too far out of it either. Feels like we need two more significant bumps south. Think we might just run out of time.
  17. osfan24
    Commutageddon vibes.
  18. osfan24
    Well, at least it is the GFS and an Op run. Woof.
  19. osfan24
    I mean, it's not a high probability, but models are still hinting at Tuesday. It's at least trackable for another few runs or so. Things should start to show up on the long range in the next few days I would think.
  20. osfan24
    Probably not given the pattern, but we can absolutely get cold smoke this late in the season. Seen a lot of cold smoke snows in March of late.
  21. osfan24
    Also liked how the map showed several major snowstorms and then his actual tweet said at least one major lol. Soooo, which is it?
  22. osfan24
    Beautiful.
  23. osfan24
    I was a swimmer and a runner growing up. I found that swimming got me in the best shape. I could be swimming regularly and not run at all and then go for a long run without any problems. Flip that around and that was not the case at all. Swimming is a rather lonely existence, however. At least with running, your head is above water and you are outside. You can talk to people if you have a running friend and look around. With swimming, you get none of that. It's a good sport but I kinda wish I had switched to another sport sooner than I did. Cycling/spinning is hard but it doesn't get me in the shape that running or swimming does. I find those to be much more of a full-body workout than cycling. I love a good run when snow is falling.
  24. osfan24
    Yeah, essentially making the Euro control the new Op is, uhhhh, not great.
  25. osfan24
    Yeah, and that storm was so close to being even better. Just slightly too warm at the start. Places northeast of us did much better.
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