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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. jbenedet
    The GEFS still in disagreement but looking across guidance it’s likely the one that’s wrong. The bulk of guidance has an MJO phase 8 look to it with significant cold anomalies across NA during the last 10 days of Jan. If that’s the case it looks largely like a repeat of December to first week of Jan pattern for my area…Not a fan…. Cold and dry here… Winter Storm tracks focused on the mid Atlantic. That would also fit the mold of La Niña…
  2. jbenedet
    Regarding northeast — it’s the first time all season we are below last year’s snow coverage and by a lot.
  3. jbenedet
    Snow is gone here. Only the piles. And the piles outside of the parking lots will be gone tomorrow.
  4. jbenedet
    Not best company but 12z CMC also has similar evolution. This threat is legit.
  5. jbenedet
    The EC-AIFS is actually on board with this one. I think Boston to SE MA still very much should watch for heaviest snowfall of the season. A very low bar(I know)… 12z GFS is super amped but at least evolution is similar. This is key difference from the 16th where GFS had no other support at similar lead time.
  6. jbenedet
    We tried to tell em about the 18th. Here we are. Very interesting indeed. we watch closely
  7. jbenedet
    Yea this was a complete flip. We had cold that overperformed to that date—temps consistently below forecast. It’s been the opposite since…
  8. jbenedet
    40/34 We torch since the 6th scattered snow cover gone today.
  9. jbenedet
    The 18z GFS ain’t happenin’. wagons north.
  10. jbenedet
    Can’t wait for MJO phase 7 to cook these weenies. Day 10 won’t be a mid Atlantic story. It’s up here. The GEFS and EPS calling absolute BS on that gradient being so far south. GTFO
  11. jbenedet
    You do realize you could run it through day 10 and see the same pattern? Or you could just run it every cycle and see the same gradient… This is an important signal
  12. jbenedet
    Since the 7th— feels and looks like a shift back to 2025 persistence Temps back to over-performing. It’s a subtle but very important change.
  13. jbenedet
    We gradient
  14. jbenedet
    Mood snows end for me with the holidays. Go big or let’s stay AN.
  15. jbenedet
    Zzzzzzzz
  16. jbenedet
    Like this?
  17. jbenedet
    EC AIFS and GFS again are worlds apart…
  18. jbenedet
    This is the 4th day of 40+… Been a long time…
  19. jbenedet
    I could easily see the 18th split the forum like the 12z GFS advertised… But at least we’re looking at legit big storm potential. The synoptic setup is amped.. 977 over Bangor ME giving a hint at the potent setup. Finally something to track
  20. jbenedet
    Legit arctic airmass around 18th. But looks like one of them “west is colder than north” type packages. Slight moderation as it swings East after diving south… Boston warmer than Greenville SC type deals… Could be a big deal in places like Atlanta…
  21. jbenedet
    The shit solution on the ICON also opens the door to the 18th. Similar to the 6z GFS. That’s the one to watch.
  22. jbenedet
    Batten down the hatches folks. 1-3” incoming.
  23. jbenedet
    Bc you believe this will be a significant snowstorm? Let’s hear — what’s your call?
  24. jbenedet
    Move to the southeast if you want to call an advisory level threat a major snowstorm. By New England standards - this isn’t even a storm at this stage. It’s weather in January.
  25. jbenedet
    Can one of the mods put a weenie tag next to the title of this thread?
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