Chris78

18 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Another one moves in a day later, lol.

That 4 day span may change alot of opinions on this winter. 

We'll except for @Ji

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Lol. Gfs with the back to back vorts and a 36 hour snowstorm. I won't complain but skeptical would be an understatement 

Starts Thursday afternoon and doesnt wrap up till early Saturday morning.  Seems plausible lol

Gfs says if next weekend doesn't work wait a few more days......

Icon still trying 

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Ggem is more accurate than the gfs. I know it's hard to accept after YEARS of ggem bashing.

Well then that's even better. Lets lock it up and call it a day.

Ill push all my chips in for a region wide 3 to 6" event.

1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Wait...so I haven't delved into what the GGEM shows, but just looking at the image posted above by @Chris78, I would have thought all or mostly rain incoming.  How does it dump 6"+ over the area??  I know, I know...snow maps and all that, but still.

Looks like early enough phasing and we get some deform love.

Oh and its the  ggem lol

Ggem back on the US side.

USA! USA! USA!

If we get into the heavier precip with a GFS track that would  be a shallacking.

A little bit of an earlier phase would draw heavier precip further west.

You can see the northern stream vort about 6 hours late to the party.

1 minute ago, losetoa6 said:

Yea...also at the end of the run hr 144 looking at 6 hr snowfall within members theres still a cluster just starting to snow on us or just near our doorstep. 

Getting this sped up imo will make a big difference. The airmass wouldnt be as stale if it came in Friday night instead of late Saturday. A few days ago this looked like a late friday/saturday event. Holefully we can get back to that. 

I like what the icon is smoking lol

3 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0z EURO....southern slider

Right where we want it.

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Dont like seeing a closed low so early in gfs....we need the storm to get here fast

Rain

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

Is that the Bob Chill storm or the SB storm or a hybrid thereof?

Bob Chill storm was the Wednesday wave that washes out

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

Icon baby!

Really good agreement on the models there will be a strong storm somewhere in the east next weekend.Really wish we had a better air mass leading into it.

9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

its a nice hit for the favored areas. Temps are better than the Euro as well. Thats as far west as I want to see it track though. Even out here.

For our i 81 area 50 to 75 miles east  would be perfect but  I aint complaining.   Love that both the euro and GFS have qpf bombs

Cmc has  the Wednesdsy/Thursday system a bit stronger. Still slides it south of us but you can see how it could deliver for us .

Theres alot going on and we dont do  complicated  well.

But i don't buy everything suppressed. 

Wheres our map from the GEFS with probabilities of more than 3 inches? 

Icon with a miller A coming out of the gulf at the end of its run. Snowing into NC.

Cmc must be right with all of its updates this week lol.  

1 hour ago, poolz1 said:

I thought the euro was close to a MD line event....especially the higher spots.  Wouldn't take a huge shift to get an accumulation along the N counties....or could just go the other way and put a fork in it.  

Looking through the eps members theres still a decent amout that schlack I81 and west. Maybe  12 to 15. Theres more that hit western PA hard. 

I still think its a long shot because theres not much cold left by Friday bit it wouldn't take a huge shift for I 81.

Like a 50  mile shift.

I wouldnt give up yet if your in the west. Gfs is close.

Has my high on Friday in the upper 30's dropping down to the low 30's that night  

Just now, Mersky said:

the 12z gfs does have snow for the area. You just have to wait 384 hours to see it.

Thats the beginning of the period Ralph Wiggum is toughting

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

I’m terrified....

I heard they look pretty good but after last winter i put no stock in them at all lol.

@WVclimo @WinterWxLuvr @poolz1 @clskinsfan

Theres about 15 to 18 eps members that say stay interested if your close to 81.