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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. And a little more than that with good snow ratios. I'd gladly take a few inches of powdery snow like Euro shows, but of course it'll be awhile before we figure out how close this is gonna be.
  2. GFS is close enough to give significant snow to southern NJ and we have almost 4 days to go, yet people think it's over. Too funny. Yeah this could miss, but we're still in the game. Snow ratios for this event are going to be higher too. Even if we just get brushed with a little precip we can get a few inches. Powder as Walt called it. We have a long way to go here to figure out how much.
  3. Well then you better take that back and instead tell them you'll work overtime.
  4. Yeah I'd give it a C. It has been cold with numerous snowfalls, but it's a little disappointing to be at slightly below normal snowfall. It could've been an excellent winter with the consistent below normal temps. We need a significant snowstorm to raise the grade to a B or higher.
  5. And you know you're not going to bed Ant, lol. You'll stay up to see the other models.
  6. We still have UKMET and EURO tonight. Hopefully they'll look better than GFS and CMC did.
  7. It has been a decent winter. However with below normal temps December through February, I'd like to have at least slightly above normal snowfall instead of the slightly below normal snowfall that we have to this date. Hopefully we can add on some more Thursday, but obviously that's very questionable right now.
  8. CMC is mainly a miss like GFS. Bad night, but we still have 4 days to go. It's close enough that we're in the game.
  9. Same here. It's a mediocre amount, but it feels like a snowy winter because the events have been frequent.
  10. Yeah you never know when one will defy the odds. We've had many nice thread the needle snowstorms through the years.
  11. I'd be ok with it if it brushes us with a moderate snowstorm like many of today's model runs show. Hopefully it won't end up being a complete miss. This is still pretty early considering model skill at predicting storm track at this range. They could completely take away our snow tonight or tomorrow and then bring it back on Monday. We won't know for awhile.
  12. We're near the edge of the significant snow on this run. Just one solution and we will see many different ones over the next couple days. I don't think we'll have a good idea until Monday or Tuesday.
  13. The thump ended up being very brief as those good radar echoes fell apart. Back down to very light snow here now. Just about up to an inch ... I measured 0.9". Looks as if about an inch is gonna do it for this event here. It has been a beautiful afternoon with this wet snow coating everything. Nice little event even though it's going to be washed away quickly.
  14. He hasn't had a great winter. For the snow event in late January he surprised people by saying it could be mostly rain, which of course ended up being wrong. Then the snow event the other night he thought a 4 to 6 inch band would make it to the Metro, which obviously didn't happen. But of course these things are tough to predict and all mets have some good calls and some bad calls.
  15. Should be a good thump for an hour. Nice radar echoes moving in.
  16. Snow intensity starting pick up now. I was thinking an inch earlier, but maybe we can get to an inch and a half. As RU pointed out it's a degree or two colder than forecast. My street is starting to get coated now.
  17. Temp is down to 32 here now. Still mainly accumulating on colder surfaces, but it is trying to dust pavement in spots now.
  18. It's a beautiful scene out there with the trees coated with the wet snow.
  19. Moderate snow and 33 degrees. A dusting on colder surfaces now. Maybe we can get an inch on colder surfaces here.
  20. What are you talking about with Tuesday? Tuesday is dry and cold.
  21. Euro keeps thew heavier snow to the south and brushes us with a moderate amount of snow. Not bad. We're talking 4 and a half days until first flakes, so we have a long way to go before we have a good idea on snow amounts for our area. Obviously a miss isn't out of the question too, but the potential looks good.
  22. Yeah models like RGEM and HRRR have gotten warmer for our area. A slushy inch on colder surfaces at most for our area, but now I'm skeptical that even that will happen. It will be nice to see the flakes coming down though, and it'll be a nice little event for areas to the north and west.
  23. Wow, that certainly is great news. I didn't think that would happen. That was the worst OT I've ever seen on any board.
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