Fozz

Didn't Feb 10, 2010 fringe this area in a similar way? Granted, that was very rare setup.

Lol... a Delmarva capture.

Same here. I think we still have a good shot of at least 8-12". I'm just sick of the 1-3" events so anything warning level would be nice to see. And I missed the October storm since I went to MD a week too soon, so I haven't seen a real snowstorm here since early last December (2 rounds, 5" each so technically not warning level).

Same here. I'd take the UKMET but still be a bit jealous of NYC metro

The GFS is now showing 18” here in RI. I’m very used to telling myself that it’s just a model, and isn’t realistic to expect. Is this really happening??

I think I see what you're saying... that if it got captured a bit later then maybe we'd be looking at widespread 18"+ totals?

Looks like an excellent hit here.

Even the normal 10:1 map looks just like December 2009 in the mid-Atlantic. Absolutely crazy run.

We can definitely afford a slight NW bump at this point. Looking great so far, and it would be the best storm since I moved here.

Thanks, that is very helpful to know. Seems like the latest GFS has a strong enough 50/50 low for this storm to work for them.

I think there's a decent chance that it delivers, simply because we have a solid -NAO which we haven't seen in a long time. That might just be enough for the mid-Atlantic in mid-December, otherwise it would be a long shot.

Yep, he bought a place in Randolph, NH and it seems like he will be spending his winters up there.

Damn I missed it.

I have some very fond memories of February 2013 when I came up north to chase that storm, years before I moved to the area. 27". Uxbridge, MA

It will be hard for the mountains of VT and Maine to get a whole lot of skiers if those states keep their COVID travel restrictions in place. NH seems more lenient. Of course, we can only guess what the situation will look like in the winter.

I've been looking for that kind of map for ages, thanks for posting it. As you can see it shows an especially sharp gradient in Worcester county, and on a number of trips the snow cover increased fast once I made my way to NH.

Now that I'm up here, I've suddenly lost any desire that I once had to see a repeat of 2009-10

Marcus was too far north to get much on 1/30/2010. But the closer burbs of Baltimore did great. 4-7". And after that there was yet another moderate storm just a few days before the big one. A quick 3-6" of wet snow on Feb 3 or 4. Hardly anyone paid much attention to it considering what was to come, but it was another nice appetizer. And then the rest was history.

Yeah 35-37" was right around what my depth was after receiving 45" from the two storms. BWI had similar totals, and they too had that depth. I guess at some point the compression of the snowpack becomes too hard to avoid. Even that crazy Buffalo LES storm in Christmas 2001, which was known to have "7 feet of snow" (81.5" to be exact), never had anywhere near that depth, though to be fair LES is a bit "fake". Their max depth was 44", which wasn't much different from the jackpot areas of MD in Feb 2010.

The whole winter, and especially that 12 day period from Jan 30 to Feb 10 was really hard to believe throughout the region. The Philly burbs were a bit warmer than central/northern MD in the second storm IIRC, since you were closer to the surface low, so ratios may have not been as crazy. Still very impressive totals. Some people say that Snowmageddon was a once in a lifetime storm. I wouldn't agree about that one storm alone, since it was equalled by the super Nino blizzard of 2016. But that whole period of Feb 2010 with the two back to back HECS was truly one of a kind.

I was lucky enough to catch this footage at the height of the second February 2010 storm in MD. Still my all time favorite.

The first storm (Feb 5-6) had the typical mid-Atlantic wet snow, but second storm (Feb 9-10) actually gave us high ratio powder with temps in the lower 20s, especially once the low bombed the morning of the 10th. The whole Baltimore area was in the perfect spot for the deform band and far enough from the surface low for temps to really plummet (I recall NJ mixing lol). It was an incredible scene.

Some of the hills of Carroll County, MD (esp the good spots of Parr's ridge) had close to 50" of depth after the second February blizzard (Feb 9-10, 2010). We basically had two back to back HECS within just days of each other (Feb 5-6 and then Feb 9-10), and incredibly some of those lucky spots received over 2' from both storms each. Those areas are the ones that ended up with 100" for the season. I lived in the same county as Phin (Baltimore county), a bit WNW of him just north of the beltway, and ended up with around 85" for the season with 3' max depth on Feb 10. The totals from the big February storms were 25" and then 20". An incredible event.

I’m surprised they’ve reported more snow than even Pinkham Notch at 2000’, which has a 10 year average around 140-150”. Not sure which numbers to believe, or whether Randolph has some special upslope.

Honestly I am a bit jealous. Gotta work hard for the next 10 years I guess.