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kat5hurricane

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Everything posted by kat5hurricane

  1. kat5hurricane
    I'm fine with a miss, these huge snow mountains are causing major disruption and it's not going anywhere anytime soon so I'm fine with not another 6"+ added to the pile. The snow weenie in me is struggling with rooting against this thing but the more practical side of me wants no part of it.
  2. kat5hurricane
    Uh, we have seen positive trends on the GFS and on the Euro albeit baby steps. The ensembles have a left lean as well. UKMET and CMC less so
  3. kat5hurricane
    I have that feeling too for the same reasons you mentioned but it's close enough to keep our interest at the very least.
  4. kat5hurricane
    The GFS is exactly where we want it right now
  5. kat5hurricane
    There are maybe 2-3 clouds in the sky and it's snowing, wild stuff.
  6. kat5hurricane
    It's less than 6 days away but I get the caution
  7. kat5hurricane
    963 is insane. A 968 on the GFS and 963 on the CMC, this is a massive storm signal. Placement is obviously the big question but these are some extreme solutions.
  8. kat5hurricane
    I cleaned off my car and my spot last night and woke up to 1-2 more inches of snow added to it, didn't see that coming. @ag3how much did you add up last night?
  9. kat5hurricane
    Generally I would agree but all the models have a big storm in the vicinity and the pattern supports it, plus we're not in fantasy range anymore. Also, there have been a few KU's in the past that were locked in on the models a week out. Of course plenty could still go wrong but it'll be a fun week of tracking at the very least.
  10. kat5hurricane
    I've been describing to my girlfriend the details of how this last storm was coming together, mid level warming, primary low location, how excited I was about the thump, what a snow weenie is etc. and needless to say she was bored to tears lots of "ok uh huh" and then saying lets just watch the show Nobody Wants This. Yes, the sacrifices we make to make them happy lol Anyway, looks like another week of tracking. What a refreshing winter this has been after like 4 ratters in a row.
  11. kat5hurricane
    The wind is relentless. I feel like the wind wasn't really talked about much but it's been a big factor. Still sleeting pretty hard.
  12. kat5hurricane
    Snow starting to mix back in here. I feel like the wind was undersold, it's been whipping out there for hours.
  13. kat5hurricane
    Pinging has commenced, a battle between snow and sleet
  14. kat5hurricane
    Visibility has gone up, either the snow has lightened or the transition to sleet has started. Still not hearing any pings yet
  15. kat5hurricane
    Still all snow here and a heavy snow at that, pretty much whiteout conditions.
  16. kat5hurricane
    No signs of mixing here, visibility very low. I'm starting to wonder if there should have been a Blizzard Warning, winds have been whipping with heavy snow for a few hours now. It's treacherous out there
  17. kat5hurricane
    Hard to measure with all the drifting, hoping we can crack 10" before the sleet races in.
  18. kat5hurricane
    Agreed, we're almost halfway there already and we're going to really thump for the next 3-4 hours at minimum with 1-2" rates. Most of us will likely end up with a foot at this rate.
  19. kat5hurricane
    Noticeably heavier snow now and the wind has pick up significantly blowing it around, looking more blizzardlike
  20. kat5hurricane
    Snow in the teens is a beautiful and rare sight around these parts. It's been pretty light the last half hour or so but looks to be about, maybe, 3" here just eyeballing it. Looking forward to the heavier stuff a little later but that will also be a sign that the mix line is approaching.
  21. kat5hurricane
    Already a winter wonderland here, radar looks great, let's have fun guys.
  22. kat5hurricane
    The Euro AI has been really consistent as has the UKMET, lets hope they're on to something. The AI has been performing well this winter
  23. kat5hurricane
    The RGEM showing the big thump gives me some hope, and the UKIE as well. I can't much if any stock into what the HRRR and RAP show, they almost always run on the cold side.
  24. kat5hurricane
    As I suspected the NAM isn't backing down, it's been pretty consistent. Whether or not that means it's correct is another story but you can't discount this potential solution.
  25. kat5hurricane
    I never found the HRRR or the RAP to be very accurate so it's just eye candy as far as I'm concerned but still nice to see nevertheless. The NAM has been pretty steady in flooding the area with warm air at the mid levels so I don't see it backing down that much.
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