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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. 1.24" at my house. I'm guessing it's pretty much over. Places not too far southeast must have gotten 3"+ based on the radar depiction every time I took a peek. Glad I got that half inch a few days ago. In decent shape for probably a week with the upcoming heat if it doesn't rain again. Hopefully those places further west that really need it can get some good storms later in the week with the frontal passage.
  2. Os are in a funk. Pitching needs major help and now the offense has gone cold. All star break cant come quick enough. No excuse for them not to go all out to get the additions they need for the stretch run, but they will have to be willing to give up a couple of quality prospects. They have plenty of capital to work with.
  3. 0.76" today so far at home. Mostly cloudy day here in the UK with some showers moving in this evening. Temp of 57. Can definitely say I don't miss the heat and humidity one bit. Glad to see the rain at home since I can't water the plants from here.
  4. Stalled frontal boundary, location on the western side of a strong high anchored over the Atlantic, and an upper level disturbance tracking northward in the flow to further enhance lift. Should be some prolific rainfall rates at times with that setup.
  5. 58 here outside of Manchester just after 6pm local time. Amazing change pre to post flight. Left with HI of 105 and arrived with wind chills in the 40s this morning. According to my weather station my yard picked up 0.54" of rain with a line that went trough overnight.
  6. WPC has a slight risk of excessive rainfall east of I-95 Friday into Saturday. Wouldn't be surprised to see that expanded westward some. Depends exactly where the front stalls. Guidance continues to indicate some h5 vorticity moving northward in the flow around the west side of the Atlantic ridge, and that could pull the boundary westward a bit. Looks like a possible setup for training convection.
  7. Keep that heat dome over central Europe.
  8. 78/76 here. Move at all and sweat profusely. I get to escape the perpetual heat for the rest of the month. Blast off this evening from Philly, where the HI will be 105 today.
  9. A bit more convoluted but the other globals have the same general idea. With that broad HP there and a front in the vicinity, there should be an area of LL convergence with an impressive moisture feed.
  10. CMC, Icon, and Euro(0z) also have the same idea- a disturbance in the SE tracking northward on the western periphery of the Atlantic High getting entrained in the front associated with the remnants of Beryl.
  11. I'll be monitoring my weather station from afar lol.
  12. Looks like a potential disturbance in the flow around the western side of the broad W Atlantic High combined with a frontal boundary associated with the remnant low moving eastward(possibly slowing/stalling) could set up an extended heavy rain threat for late week. Long way off and we know how this has gone lately.
  13. Looking forward to missing out on it. I will be back for the stretch run of actual summer though, and then MA extended summer through October.
  14. Thanks! Watched the match today. Hoping to be at a local pub watching them in the finals. That would be pretty awesome.
  15. Os need to find at least one more legit starter, and one reliever. Povich isn't ready and needs to be demoted, like now.
  16. Beautiful. Took some vacations in that general area years ago- Boone, Blowing Rock etc. Microclimate in winter- quite cold and relatively snowy for that latitude(at least back then). I'm sure it is still to some degree.
  17. I'll be escaping the heat and humidity beginning mid week. A short stay in Dublin then off to the greater Manchester UK area until the end of the month. Weather looks nice through at least mid month, with high temps ranging from the mid 60s to the low 70s. Hoping for some rain at home so I don't come back to a bunch of burned up plants lol. Grass will do what it always does.
  18. High of 95 here today. Currently 83 approaching 10 pm.
  19. All the dairy farms around here have extensive irrigation systems. It is a must given the scattered, inconsistent nature of summer rains. Not sure how any farm in our region can depend exclusively on mother nature to deliver the needed water for feed corn etc.
  20. Yeah I saw the big totals in your area on the radar estimate. Places in SNJ had 4-6" during that period.
  21. Snippet from Mount Holly morning AFD focused on Saturday- Low pressure lifts northward into Ontario Friday night into Saturday with a strengthening southerly flow developing in the warm sector over the area ahead of an approaching cold front. This will ratchet up the mugginess even further with dewpoints potentially reaching over 75 degrees in some areas by Saturday afternoon. Combined with forecast highs for Saturday once again in the upper 80s to low 90s for most areas, this could bring peak heat indices in the range of 102 to 107 degrees, meaning heat headlines would be needed if this forecast holds. The synoptic scale lift provided by the cold front along with abundant moisture looks to result in widespread showers and storms by Saturday afternoon into the evening. And at this point, both severe weather and flash flooding look to be a threat. We remain particularly concerned seeing progged PWat values by both deterministic models and ensembles in the range of 2.25 to 2.5 inches which is again is close to climatological maxes.
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