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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Here are the actual total precip/snowfall maps for the 18z 3km NAM. The ones posted earlier were premature as the precip was still ongoing for eastern areas.
  2. CAPE
    12z Euro down to about a quarter inch of precip here. GFS with a bit over a half inch. 18z runs gonna be HUGE. I'll need a big ass beer.
  3. CAPE
    Looks like the Canadians are starting to come around. Maybe by 0z.
  4. CAPE
    This almost makes me want to head to Rehoboth lol.
  5. CAPE
    Headlines/graphics from Mount Holly
  6. CAPE
    Just ignore the Canadians.
  7. CAPE
    The latest blend
  8. CAPE
    'Clipper' used to refer to an Alberta clipper. Well, those are apparently extinct. So call it whatever. It's gonna snow.
  9. CAPE
    Yeah not a clipper. Nice timing with the upper level features. The region is gonna be under the left exit region of the jet streak with PVA as the shortwave approaches. With cold air in place, perfect for a quick shot of moderate to heavy snow.
  10. CAPE
  11. CAPE
    6z GFS expanded/shifted north the southern precip max
  12. CAPE
    Latest blend. Best so far.
  13. CAPE
    The very beginning of March doesn't look too promising. Roll that pattern forward and there may be another chance in the 7-15th window.
  14. CAPE
    6z GEFS
  15. CAPE
    This is still on the table.
  16. CAPE
    18z EPS
  17. CAPE
    Euro always seems to do something wonky at this timeframe. Ask the NE crew a couple days ago when they were all jumping off the ledge. It had next to nothing in your yard and like 3" here for a run lol.
  18. CAPE
    Where? PSU's yard? Forecast high for greater DC-Baltimore area is 40 with plenty of sun.
  19. CAPE
    Other than padding stats a tiny bit, what's the difference? With mid Feb sun and and high temps of 40, 3 inches will disappear just as quickly as 1-2.
  20. CAPE
    Yes, looking forward to yet another beach chase. At least we can get some legit cold in a Nina at times. The typical 'domestic' cold in a Nino doesn't seem to work so much anymore. Once again we see LR guidance advertise the epic sustained NA block in conjunction with an amped -EPO with cross polar flow, and as usual it's a unicorn.
  21. CAPE
    Well, he is chronically hyperbolic among his other issues. Not sure why anyone bothers reading his crap.
  22. CAPE
    The blend suggesting 1-2 the last couple runs. Seems reasonable. This is a fairly moisture starved fast mover, and not very cold either. Boom is probably 3 in the lowlands.
  23. CAPE
    Go ahead and pass lol. I'm way good with that outcome. Never kick a few inches of snow out of bed, even if it only lasts a few mins. Better than more rain, or sunny and 55. We have 6 months of summer on the doorstep.
  24. CAPE
    That is a tenuous way to get a legit block. Transient -NAO, sure. Guidance did indicate a retrograding Scandi ridge for a time, which is a path to a legit, sustained NA block. Clearly that idea was wrong though.
  25. CAPE
    Damn I wish. Jonesing for one. Drank a KBS though, and now sipping on an old fashioned.
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