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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yeah that might have had something to do with it. Warm front in the vicinity too. Storms were more pulse in nature. That second batch never made it here. Blossomed then disintegrated.
  2. CAPE
    0.8". Initial storm has passed east but looks like maybe round 2 developing just to the west.
  3. CAPE
    Effing deluge here. I wasn't expecting anything like this until much later tonight into tomorrow.
  4. CAPE
    Preliminary NTSB report has been out for a week or so. Interesting and informative read, but still unanswered questions. Plenty of discussion in my world regarding the sequence of events and some of the decisions leading up to the accident. pdf download at the link below- https://www.ntsb.gov/investigations/Pages/DCA24MM031.aspx
  5. CAPE
    Some rumbles of thunder and moderate rain at my place. Looks like places just further south and east will do the best based on the position of the stalled front.
  6. CAPE
    A few have popped up here and there over the last week, but nothing unusual. I usually see a fair amount with all the trees and shade.
  7. CAPE
    Pretty much peak lawn here(such that it is). Even with the clover and various other non-grass products mixed in, it is thick and lush and green. One month until the solstice, and it will be starting to struggle by then, and then it's all downhill on the way to mostly thatch by the end of July. The rinse and repeat will start a few weeks later. If only the days started getting shorter after today lol.
  8. CAPE
    Looks like another cold front will stall across/just south of us end of the week. That could mean clouds with periods of showers through the weekend.
  9. CAPE
    0.32" today and 2.43" for the month. Coolish more than warm and humid. Good balance of cloudy days and sun. I'll take this any day for May. Goldilocks.
  10. CAPE
    Some of our recent weather reminds me of Summer in UK. I was there for two weeks in early August last year and I loved it. There was quite a bit of sun mixed in with cloudy damp days, but the warmest was a few days in the mid 70s. Best part is I was able to delete 2 weeks of experiencing protracted heat and humidity by not being here lol. It was gross returning to Philly and sweating on the shuttle from the Airport to the parking spot.
  11. CAPE
    It will pass soon enough, to be replaced by months of relentless heat and humidity. I will enjoy the coolish, cloudy days while it lasts.
  12. CAPE
    Rain was over by noon here. Ended up with 0.70". Cloudy, cool, gloomy day.
  13. CAPE
    Light to moderate rain falling this morning. 0.43". Most of it since midnight.
  14. CAPE
    0.35" since midnight, most of that falling with the showers that came through this afternoon.
  15. CAPE

    Aurora Alert

    CAPE replied to baltosquid's topic in Mid Atlantic

    I got up at 4am and walked down to the end of my driveway. Looked up and the big dipper was right there. Beautiful starry sky but didn't see any Aurora action. I was looking west/nw. With the tree line I couldn't see due north or NE, and being half asleep I didn't feel like taking a drive. Congrats to those who saw it.
  16. CAPE
    52 and drizzle
  17. CAPE
    Picked up 0.35" with a loud storm around 2am.
  18. CAPE
    Rain amounts look paltry for much of the area through Saturday evening on the 6z GFS.
  19. CAPE
    Mount Holly downplaying it as well based on last few model cycles. Forecast guidance continues to step back from the severe weather potential for Thursday, though the situation remains in a bit of a flux. A few things are working in favor for a diminished severe potential: 1) Guidance continues to trend further south with the track of our system, lending to a cooler, cloudier day 2) Convective-allowing models are suggesting an overnight MCS across the southern Mid Atlantic will lift northward along a warm front and arrive around or shortly after daybreak Thursday, largely robbing our region of instability for much of the day. Because so much of the aforementioned elements depend on the evolution of severe weather occuring across the Tennessee River Valley today, there remains a higher than usual level of uncertainty within our forecast. At any rate, the warm front and how far north it is able to travel will be the limiting reagent for our weather tomorrow. North of the front will remain cloudy, showery, and overall dreary with temperatures stuck in the mid to upper 60s with an easterly flow. South of the front, warmer temperatures in the 70s with diurnal heating will lend to more instability developing through the day, resulting in a higher severe weather risk. At this point in the forecast, the frontal boundary is expected to stall out just south of the Delmarva Peninsula, keeping much of the severe weather potential in our forecast area suppressed. At this point I hope I can get a quarter inch or so of rain out of this. The modest rain over the weekend didn't do very much.
  20. CAPE
    Yeah the Euro is a bit more amplified, with the surface low positioned initially further north and a little stronger than most other guidance.
  21. CAPE
    The trend tomorrow as the low passes by to our north is drying with westerly downsloping winds and lowering dewpoints. Thursday is a better setup with the low track and a southerly warm, moist feed out in front over the region, especially east of the higher terrain.
  22. CAPE
    Mount Holly mentions the potential in their morning AFD, but low probability for any convection to initiate. For Wednesday, a weak area of low pressure passes by to the north as it moves from upstate NY into New England. An initial round of showers and storms associated with the system`s warm front will be moving out through the first part of the morning with skies then clearing and temperatures shooting up as the area breaks into the system`s warm sector. Expect afternoon highs generally in the low to mid 80s across the area except 70s right near the immediate coast and over the southern Poconos. Dew points will climb into the low to mid 60s through the late morning but then should actually start to come down in the afternoon as a very weak cold front starts to move through and the winds turns more westerly. During the warmest part of the day dew points should be mainly in the upper 50s to low 60s which isn`t too high. There could be some isolated afternoon showers/storms developing but these would be few and far between as it should otherwise be dry through the latter part of the day. It is worth mentioning though that should any showers/storms develop they could become severe as winds aloft will will be quite strong with inverted-V soundings in the lower levels. Damaging winds would be the threat.
  23. CAPE
    The holes they bore are 3/8 to 1/2 inch diameter. Most traps the holes are drilled to half inch. Good luck!
  24. CAPE
    Drilled on an upward angle. The idea is once the bee gets in, it only sees light at the bottom and goes there thinking its the way out.
  25. CAPE
    Some persistent light to moderate rain this afternoon after the spits and drizzle of this morning. Up to 0.65" for the event.
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