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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    yeah baby!
  2. CAPE
    12km NAM is pretty useless.
  3. CAPE
    The tropical forcing can't make it east of the MC for more than a minute. Not very Nino-like. When it persists in the crappy phases, we get more jet retraction, and -PNA.
  4. CAPE
    This place is starting to annoy the fuck out of me lol. Anyway, its pre SB HH. KBS time.
  5. CAPE
    By next weekend? We are literally tracking now for next weekend. And beyond.
  6. CAPE
    Pretty Similar to the 6z GFS
  7. CAPE
    Euro actually did get it done with another wave for the 20th. At this point, we just cant know. Same idea on the EPS
  8. CAPE
    It's the same idea as the 0z run, except the NS energy digs further south and induces a surface low over NC. Could work but if it ends up all NS with the southern wave suppressed it probably favors places further north.
  9. CAPE
    Crack open that 120. You would have a glorious deep sleep. And some weird ass dreams lol. On top of JD.. eh, nah, save it. Needs to be a proper occasion and savored- for after Mahomes loses, or our collective ultimate victory- a late Feb KU.
  10. CAPE
    Thanks, but us rational folk are becoming outnumbered at this juncture lol. This snow stuff is serious business.
  11. CAPE
    Key wave for the PD window.
  12. CAPE
    Doesn't quite come together but not far off.
  13. CAPE
    Hell of a split of the NS energy associated with the displaced TPV squeezed in between the amped EPO ridge and the developing -NAO. Reminds me of Prince in his prime. That little wave scooting eastward underneath along the boundary might be mildly interesting
  14. CAPE
    Not a bad outcome this run as advertised. NS interaction is gonna be pesky.
  15. CAPE
    This is a good look on the EPS with significant NS energy tracking eastward and phasing into the 50-50 low ahead of the southern shortwave. The tricky part will be the next piece of energy dropping southward as the wave continues to track east.
  16. CAPE
    There is a lot going on here. Tracking for this period won't be for the faint of heart.
  17. CAPE
    He is frazzled. Seems he suddenly forgot everything he ever knew about LR guidance.
  18. CAPE
    And many others only see the path to failure.
  19. CAPE
    The Canadian lol. Guidance in general having issues resolving the transfer and how quickly the coastal strengthens. Exact track is a bit iffy too. Right now probably gotta ride with the Euro-GFS combo. Given the warmth out in front and no cold HP up north, a norther track/rain-snow line makes sense.
  20. CAPE
    The 2 strongest signals for a storm beyond the 15th on the 6z GEFS-
  21. CAPE
    Yoda might be a goner.
  22. CAPE
    Lets all effing panic over the pattern not looking so epic beyond 10 days on a smoothed mean. Is this a forest for the trees thing? Maybe the inverse.
  23. CAPE
    Its crazy to look past a window with potential that is still 8-10 days out, because the weeklies have been persistent about the 24th lol. This isn't really even a suppressed look. It is a bit too far SE verbatim, and it is still pretty far out there.
  24. CAPE
    No need. We know how to find the Panic thread.
  25. CAPE
    I made my good faith effort. No more coddling the panic stricken here. Take it to the other thread. Y'all just getting weenies from me going forward lol.
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