CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Lol right. It will trend to NNE, where the Euro ens has it. That makes too much sense though, so maybe NC can get snow in Nov..they 'stole' our early Dec storm last year after all.
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Yes it was suppressed at 12z, but it's trying.. a little harder at 18z. I am not buying it though, not in early Nov.
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I figured you did lol.
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Perpetually- as in constantly; never ending.
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QBO 30mb equatorial zonal wind continues to head towards neutral- but its doing so slowly. Oct value was 7.27, down from 8.25 in Sept. Moving in the right direction at least.
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Snow88 is perpetually confused. Thankfully he doesn't crap up our subforum with his dopey posts.
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Unfortunately for SNE snow weenies, they are likely going to be on the outside looking in.
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Quick glance at the 12z Euro ens mean snowfall is as expected- a moderate elevation event for N PA into NY state, central and northern NE- although like last run, there are hints of first flakes for our area.
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Fun to look at, but climo is pretty hostile in early November for anything legit. That being said, if the guidance is correct with these extreme h5 looks, it's not impossible that some parts of our region could see some frozen. Much more likely for N PA into central and N NE.
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Pretty damn impressive h5 look. I would call that a triple ridge bridge.. PNA/EPO/WPO, and the N Atlantic ain't no slouch either.
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Euro is really close to something for next Friday. Verbatim it snows on the western highlands and even N central MD
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What da? GFS advertising the Day after tomorrow around mid month..
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31. Looks like Sunday night will be the first legit freeze here.
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0z Euro is a good run for NY state and central/northern NE for next Fri-Sat.. 6-10".
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Yeah it develops a monstrous PNA ridge with multiple TPV lobes rotating down, then it drops the hammer and brings one down over the GLs at the end of the run.
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43/33 here. Should be a frosty morning. Not sure about a freeze. More likely Sunday night here.
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The wind was pretty darn impressive too.
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Damn I feel jipped and drought stricken compared to most of y'all. Not much of anything for this "event" and 5.4" for the month.
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Lots of branches down here and 2 power outages overnight. Heard a big thud in the middle of the night so I expect to see a tree or part of a tree down in the woods fairly close to the house.
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Wind. Lots of wind. Still windy. Hardly any rain lol. 0.20". Might have to get the sprinkler out by Sunday.
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Long way off, but yeah. Possibly a threat for the western highlands as it fits climo there. Places east of the mountains- realistically, maybe a period to watch for first flakes in the air.
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Did you seriously expect this to produce? In THIS area? In late October? Should be a decent squall line a bit later with some very localized wind damage..that's about it.
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Latest CFS runs concur. November may be kinda fun.
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Impressive -WPO and +PNA with a -AO and some nice ridging in the NAO domain as well on the EPS. I am totally down with an h5 pattern like this becoming a mainstay for winter.
