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Euro jackpots Bob Chill with a solid mulch covering
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12z Euro is not at all enthusiastic about the mid week deal.
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Ofc if mid next week doesn't work out, there is always the storm after the storm after the storm.
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This has been a trend in recent runs overall. 6z GFS took a step in that direction. The 0z GFS, as well as the CMC, had nice upper jet positioning for our area and impressive 700 mb FGEN. Need to get the boundary far enough S/E though as the impulses ride along it otherwise its 38 degree rain, a few splatty flakes, then clearing.
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Context Yoda. We were discussing the 18z EPS mean snowfall, verbatim. You are having some issues parsing lately.
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Much more so for your region than the DC area.
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Why are you trying to ruin my troll game?
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In a fast flow without a block, we will continuously run the risk of a low appearing over the GLs, and Higher pressure off the maritimes. The exact inversion of what is ideal. Timing will need to be damn near perfect.
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You tell me Yoda. There is nothing "textbook" about this upcoming advertised pattern in my view. I have been consistent on that. That doesn't mean parts of our region wont see some frozen.
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I just hope we can all score a few inches and then watch it violently wash away with a mild super soaker a couple days later.
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What a forum divider on the 18z GFS. Sorry for you NW folks who get fringed.
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Yup. I mentioned this after the 12z run.
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Forum divider
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I think a lot of what we have seen lately (at verification) is transient ridging in the NAO space as a result of pieces of the TPV rotating through and pumping up a ridge there. Not that that is a bad thing, but it is really a bootleg/transient -NAO and not a true block. If the overall pattern is supportive, we can score with that, but timing is critical. That's my take.
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Nothing is ever a lock when it comes to predicting a -NAO. We will know when it happens in real time.
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This Pecan Pie Porter is pretty freaking good.
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Give it time. It will pull the rug out and the whole forum will be like
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I thought that nice little shortwave along the Texas Gulf Coast might get involved with the NS, but it gets left behind. Unless we see a legit sw moving along the boundary, I agree this is just typical model depiction of cold chasing rain at range.
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Eagles will win it with an 8-8 record.
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Snow mean approaching respectable between the 12th and the 20th on the EPS. 2" at DC. Looks active with multiple chances, ofc the prospect of total failure is always there in a pattern like this.
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26 here this morning.
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@frd
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The general idea is there. It absolutely will come down to timing, and as we know, odds are better these things don't work out many more times than they do.
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And this..
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