CAPE

LOL. I realize it's difficult to keep up when you only do the occasional drive-by shit post.

Yeah this one has the look of a potentially big event for most of NE, including, and maybe especially, SNE for a change. Maybe even NYC. Perfect way to end this debacle.

He has been a useless troll since the day he showed up. He spreads it around too. We aren't the only subforum that gets to "enjoy" his lame shtick.

Percent?

Well at least the GFS is getting back to its old routine with perpetual day 10 digital snowstorms every few runs. Ji likes that.

The last decent winter in my yard (slightly above avg snowfall) was 2017-18. Given worse options- like the complete disaster that is this winter- I might actually welcome a Nina.

Wrt weather, sun angle is completely irrelevant since there is a perpetually zero chance of snow. Now if you are talking D3 absorption and better moods and such, it is significant.

These maps have looked like this for more than 2 months and resulted in zero snow. It really is time to move on.

Agreed. And it actually was "good" here. Its all relative. Slightly above climo avg snowfall imby. Way better than last winter. And the bomb cyclone chase in Jan at the beach made it more memorable than it otherwise would have been for me.

Bring on La Nina. I will take my chances lol.

This thread really is about tracking legit warmth. Not snow. Just in case anyone is still somehow under any misconception to the contrary.

This is a shocking development.

We will see a few days well into the 70s in March. Can bank on that. Would not be at all surprised to see 80+.

From Mt Holly AFD. Rinse and repeat... By the start of next week synoptic pattern shifts to what has largely been the default pattern this winter... a western Atlantic ridge with upstream troughing over the Central US. This will result in a storm track north and west of the area which will favor warmer temperatures and primarily rain events. At this time details are a bit lacking, but a system does look to track over the Great Lakes Monday PM into Tuesday with a secondary system possibly on its heels on Wednesday. Temperatures will only be a couple degrees above normal Monday but should increase into the low to mid 60s by Wednesday as SW flow increases in association with the aforementioned storm systems. Eventually this wretched pattern will mercifully end, and we will get into the usual warm/humid doldrums for the balance of Spring, before we finally transition to Hot and humid with little rain for the long, long, looooong Summer ahead. Don't y'all just love it here?

Those maps have been remarkably consistent for the past 2+ months. You want snow? Go north 150+ miles.

In a winter like this? That is abundantly clear.

Warm snow White rain.

Cold rain?

There's your chase.

Not a bad look. Maybe we can score a snow shower. Too bad the other globals don't concur.

Congrats @losetoa6

I never start threads. This might end well.

We are approaching the cliff. Lets all drive off together. Start us off @Weather Will . What do the latest one inch snow prob maps show? We in the 10% range?

Chickweed is in mid March form.

A couple summers ago I had bluebird doing it. He left when I hung the big eyed balloons, and I never saw him after that. The Cardinals seem much more persistent.