CAPE

It appears next weekend will feel like winter, just wont look like it.

A couple summers ago I had bluebird doing it. He left when I hung the big eyed balloons, and I never saw him after that. The Cardinals seem much more persistent.

Oh I know all about this. Get one every few summers- it will just keep battling itself, banging into windows, and crapping everywhere. I am never lucky enough to have one bash its own brains in though lol. You really think they would. I found these scary "beach ball" things that have big, exaggerated eyes on them, and they work well. Looks a bit weird when you see them hanging on the house though. Kinda like Voodoo shit. But that usually still won't deter them completely- they just find another 'target'. The one I had last year found the plastic chrome trim on the lower grille of my Jeep. It spent all summer launching itself into that lol. Its only the males that do it. The one I had last summer a lot of the time would have its mate sitting there on the ground watching him. Like "Hey babe look how tough I am fighting this dude to keep him away from you".

CFS did get the AO/NAO right. It was persistently showing blue up top leading into winter, and continued that look. It failed miserably with the EPO. Even after the Pac pattern emerged and became stable, the CFS kept insisting on a big EPO ridge delivering cross polar flow, with a trough in the east. It has been playing catch up over the last month.

Just doin' my job.

You already know how this ends up lol. We will, however, have our third straight cold/dry weekend following another mild week. Rinse and repeat,

22 here. The forecast low was 30. Dry air and clear skies ftw.

Mount Holly Snippet- LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Overall, our pattern of warm, wet, cold, dry continues this week. Yup. The beat goes on. Although the cold part is debatable.

^I should have made that my profile photo a month ago.

@psuhoffman Outside of something transient/bootleg, are there any cases where there was a sustained -NAO while the AO was persistently positive? I would think not, or very rarely.

Yeah this winter the SPV has been a consolidated monster, and it has coupled down to the troposphere. Not much is going to overcome that. Maybe perfect forcing in the Pac that produces a persistent PNA ridge. We would have a fighting chance if that were the case. Not so this winter. Not even close.

For those who were not aware, they certainly should be after this winter. A persistent +AO is death to snow chances in our region. Only way to somewhat mitigate it is a persistent and strong EPO ridge.

A large portion of the region also had a snowless Jan, aside from a trace. And outside of NW areas, very little in Dec. But yeah, it's generally how we roll.

What town are you near?

Low of 19 here.

At least the GFS op has teased with a potential hail mary event on recent runs. Yesterday it looked like maybe around the 5th. The 6z run now has one on the 9th. Clipper incoming at hour 384!

Yes mid month and into March was a great period.

I think we had the epic poetry thread that year too. Or maybe it was 2014. Fun times.

Ha I forgot about the second one.

Just browsing through that thread. Those were the days.

Its here- That was the winter Boston had over 100", much of it coming in Feb.

It wasn't your typical rant. It was ROFL stuff.