CAPE

As long as people don't create an alcohol shortage, like they did with TP, we might all make it through this with our sanity.

Yup. People better get used to social distancing/gloves/masks. It is the new normal. A vaccine is probably a year away. Forget sports, concerts etc. Not happening.

Can Happy Hour start at 2 today?

Did you see Lamar's new tat? I am not a big fan of tattoos over large areas of the body, and his in particular is, eh, kinda gaudy looking. To each their own though. Hope he is happy with it later in life lol.

"Here" now? lol. Considering that approximately 100% of those who post on the politics forum come from this weather forum, this is hardly a revelation.

Sorry to interrupt all the April snow fantasies, but I have an announcement to make. The official rainfall total for my yard is 1.45". Carry on!

Very similar looking.

Was a pretty ordinary storm with heavy rain and some gusty winds here. If there was rotation it was just NE of me. If you look closely you can see a turkey buzzard gliding out in front.

I was down at the end of my driveway taking a few shots of it approaching when the warning alert came across lol. Then a lightning bolt had be "running" back up the driveway in flip flops.

Had a power outage for over an hour. Wind has been impressive here- a pretty large branch fell across my driveway. Really gusting out there now. 1.05" of rain this morning, and the temp is up to 69 with a dp of 64. Juicy out there.

Here is the SPS on the gravity wave- Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 932 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020 NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>103-105-131545- Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks- Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Eastern Chester- Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks- Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie 932 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020 ...Brief period of damaging wind gusts possible late this morning... Several surface observations from central Pennsylvania have indicated a one-to-two hour period of wind gusts between 40 and 70 mph. These stronger winds have reached the southern Poconos and Lehigh Valley. Wind gusts may reach 60 mph in eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey through midday. Tree damage and power outages may occur with these stronger wind gusts.

Yup it feels legit humid out there now. Temp is up to 68 here.

Already had a power outage here for an hour +, and the wind is really gusting again now. It had calmed down a bit when the rain stopped earlier.

Probably right on the leading edge of the dry slot. It's going to be an interesting day with the trees and power lines.

0.80" so far. The overnight rain here was mostly light to moderate. Much heavier this morning, and is associated with the warm front lifting through plus some vorticity aloft.

This is technically round 2 now, as the actual warm front is lifting north over the area. Next we see how unstable we can get from around mid morning on. What develops at that point would be round 3, and carry severe potential, with the best chances of mixing some of that strong wind field aloft down to the surface. Winds are really picking up here now, with some heavy showers moving through.

Precisely

Looks like this will be fairly localized over the higher terrain of w VA/WV, with an upper jet, area of 700-850 fronto forcing, and probably some orographic lift thrown in- if it comes together at all. As PSU said, Euro is not impressive with the dynamics on the latest run. Either way it looks to be very elevation dependent for any accumulating snow. No shocker there.

Pretty reasonable for mid April, right?

This is clearly an elevation "event". 2000 ft+ probably a few inches of wet snow. Once you get down to 1000 ft, maybe some wet slush bombs mixed in. Below that, it's a chilly rain. LOL at snow in southern NJ. Keep those maps coming though!

I think wine is more appropriate for Easter, but I will get to that later, with dinner. Right now a Voodoo Ranger IPA is doing the trick.

Well, Mount Holly went with a fairly widespread High Wind Warning. I thought it might only be hoisted for the immediate coastal counties of DE and NJ.. ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with 50 to 60 mph gusts expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania, northeast Maryland and central, northern and southern Delaware. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Thunderstorms are possible on Monday that could result in even stronger wind gusts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

My hope is renewed everyday, right around 4 pm.