CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Temps are marginal. We know that. It can still work. The problem is h5, h85, and the surface don't congeal in time for our latitude.
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Look at the evolution at 500 mb. It's wonky af. Short answer is it all comes together too late/too far north for us. eta- I meant to reply to @Scraff lol
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Its real lol. Ralph must have been kidding. Snow plow?
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I generally agree. I think the ensemble members/mean maps have a little more value once the models hone in on an actual threat- provides an indication of the confidence in the event for given locations, but should never be taken even close to verbatim wrt to amounts.
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That map was the mean for the 8th to the 12th. That ain't bad for 7 days out.
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I am thrilled to be considered top poster though. I had no idea!
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WTF are you talking about? You have been going on with these dumbass insinuations long enough. Spill or STFU.
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I meant to say the 8th. There might be a half inch up your way prior to that.
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That's essentially a 4-day mean, for a period beginning in 7 days.
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I think it has a lot to do with the pattern. In this case with a stout block in place/strong confluence, there probably wont be as much of a tendency for north trends towards game time. More likely to tick south a tad. I agree about it being a bit suppressed this far out- it's right on the doorstep.
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For the snow map folks- through Tuesday the 12th. ( nothing really east of the mountains before the 8th) eta- corrected for wrong date.
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There are some nice hits among the members between the 9th and the 12th on the EPS.
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Look at all levels of the atmosphere, not just h5. In this case, look further upstairs at the strength/location of the upper jet, around 250 mb. LF quadrant = lift.
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It's just nice seeing the highs and lows in the right places with an approaching wave. We get that with a legit west based -NAO.
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Ravens signed a punter off the KC practice squad in case Koch is not available.
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It's not out of the question with that EPS look. It would take a damn near perfect track to get it done.
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Medication compliance is important.
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Yeah I saw that. I like seeing some spread with at least a few southern solutions at range. I think the potential ramps up beginning around the 10th. Not too enthused for anything later next week for my yard.
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So yeah.. Did ya hear? It's not looking very cold this week.
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WB Will should be along shortly to post all the snow maps and meager probabilities from the 0z/6z runs.
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Nah I never drink too much. Us health freaks gotta be careful with the vices. I don't see much to post about this morning. Pretty redundant. Upcoming pattern looks good but nothing really happening over the next week. I guess I could talk about the Euro weeklies..is the end in sight?
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Bootleg thread.
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This is it. Super good. https://hiwirebrewing.com/specialty-beers/horchata-10w-40/
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I had one very similar to that from Hi-Wire a couple weeks ago. Was excellent.
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The local rednecks must be lit early. I can hear the bangs and booms already lol.
