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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Yes it was randomly not loading certain products when I was on there.
  2. The transition to the coastal is better and its not as warm for as long in our area. Good trends.
  3. Yeah this will be the biggest event since March of 18 for sure. And it will only take an inch to do it. lol.
  4. And we have the usual contrast between the glass half full and glass half empty posts. Some glasses seem completely empty.
  5. I think its still pretty far south. Looks like a nice band moving through there on radar, which has produced a bit of subsidence here. Barely snowing.
  6. I suspect it will becoming down hardest as the warmer air aloft is approaching later, then the sleet mixes in. I hope we get dry slotted with just some drizzle when the warmer air comes in at the surface as the coastal is getting going. If we are to get some decent snow on the backside it would be nice if some of what falls today can survive.
  7. Snowing here now. If the mesos are correct, our best stuff is coming a bit later on.
  8. I hope people don't stay glued to radar hand wringing over lulls or mix lines. Look out the window. Get out and enjoy it man. I will also descend into the woods, and might head over to Tuckahoe later.
  9. It would be sort of an odd evolution to pull that off, but when the usual places NW are getting jacked with deathbands it's usually dry slotted over here with snizzle. I have a feeling it would end up more expansive if its real. Something to monitor while we watch the snow fall today. Good luck!
  10. I have my doubts it ends up that robust over here, but the Euro has been persistent, and the ICON is on board. GFS is kind of close.
  11. Maybe more than that. This captures it pretty well.
  12. Since WW didn't let the run finish.. here is THE map.
  13. I had an initial band move through here with a nice dusting. Stopped now. Really wasn't suppose to get going until mid morning for eastern areas.
  14. The other thing that is interesting on the GFS is this panel as the deform band is just beginning to develop nw of the low. Has some heavy precip and 850s and surface are cooling at the same time. This is 'recorded' as rain (here) verbatim on the model, but maybe it ends up rain flipping to snow as temps are starting to crash during this window. GFS is also warmer than other guidance. ICON has it too and it thinks it's snow here.
  15. On the Euro when 850mb low moves a bit SE off the SNJ coast it gets into a pretty decent spot. This is what I have been watching. Cant see the upper levels on the Icon, but I have a feeling it looks similar. GFS has the action further east/southeast during this timeframe.
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