CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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If this holds its a nice storm for the entire forum. No need to be greedy lol.
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Hasn't started yet on WB. Seems late. What else is new?
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Yeah, despite how good the guidance looks for I-95 east, its either mixy or a dry slot, while N MD is getting wrecked.
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The developing 850 mb low is just a touch south of 12z at the end of the run. Not sure it would end up that much different overall. Probably a little better for here with temps/p-type.
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Its further SE/colder than 12z.
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18z Euro running now. The front end waa thump is a bit further south.
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He brews some good stuff. I can attest.
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Uncertainty. That area is very close to the primary and at elevation the warming aloft effs it up for snow initially. Beyond that, the coastal and the dynamics associated with that may be too far east, so any snow may be a function of NW flow and orographic lift on the backside, thus the forecast of snow showers. Ofc snow showers out there can lead to pretty significant accumulations.
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Yesss. But, we need the obligatory qualifier- well, it is the RGEM at range..
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The progression is good though. I wouldn't take the 2m temps verbatim. Low 40s is one thing, but on the backside within the CCB, even if it shows 34-35 , with 850s below 0c, it would be snowing pretty good. There is no getting around some rain for a time with this one, for any place east of I-95 imo...unless the primary doesn't hang on as long/ coastal low track shifts pretty significantly. Not likely at this range though. -
I would tap that shit.
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2-4 for the front end looks reasonable. Go with that idea for now. Expect nothing else, and if the coastal works out, then its a bonus.
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Those surface p-type maps are useless garbage. Look at the 2m/850 temps panel by panel. We get killed by the low level warmth during the transition. We need the Euro evolution- everything else is meh right now.
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Yeah I have liked everything I have tried from them recently. This thing smells AMAZING.
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Mine looks sort of like that, but more like- rain/snow, snow likely, then rain, then rain/snow, then snow likely. I need today's Euro run to verify lol.
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Drinking a Cocoa Loco Mexican Imperial Stout from Black Flag. Very good.
