CAPE

I would hope so, lol.

I think that time came a few years ago.

Looking like 70 is a good bet for both Thursday and Friday. Bring it.

22 here approaching 5am.

0z EPS implies flatter wave(s) damping with eastward movement early next week, a similar outcome to one of the common themes of the winter when there has been a strong vortex near the Canadian Maritimes- too much confluence in the wake. GEFS digs a trough along the west coast, with more ridging in the east as the NA vortex departs quicker. Result is a more consolidated system tracking to the NW. Pick your path to defeat, lol.

Beautiful day. High of 42 here.

Well, you should be with 50+ inches of snow.

Don't forget the lotion.

"sweating a tad"

You valley folk.

That March sun is a bit like a heat lamp.

Dressed for the cold and physical activity. Homeostasis.

I can't wait for the next posting of the Control run.

It loves to grow here, like most other weeds lol. Seems to come alive in late winter, as it stays low to the ground. I yank it out and throw down a ton of preen, but it will still come back.

Yeah no wind to speak of today. Was out putting down some mulch, and was sweating a tad. Sun is legit. 36 here now. Beautiful day.

Nothing like 360 hour snow maps. Everyone take a gander and get your expectations calibrated.

Low of 25. Raging Bitch is a good one. Haven't had that for awhile.

Still looking pretty interesting on the means beginning around the 15th, with ridging in the EPO/WPO domains, displaced TPV lobes, and with a neutral/negative PNA it looks like some southern waves ejecting eastward. Late, but maybe.. Probably the NW crew should be turned on at the thought of padding their already impressive snow totals.

It is interesting to look back on the large magnitude busts that were possible not that long ago. The modeling wasn't quite good enough back then in setups with subtle/complex interactions and timing of phases. As I recall there was a strong NS vortex rotating down and phasing with a southern stream wave, and the guidance had it occurring earlier- pretty much perfectly timed for the MA. In the end the southern wave wasn't captured until later, so it all came together further NE. We had the surprise big snowstorm in Jan the winter before that where guidance all had it staying south until within 24 hours. Huge forecast busts like those are much less likely to happen today.

https://www.inquirer.com/news/john-bolaris-storm-forecast-bust-snow-march-2001-20210304.html

Haven't had that one for a while either. Good stuff. And sure thing lol. I have a feeling the only WWS that's available right now is the one I found, but never hurts to look.

When I was GC I never paid anything up front. The construction loan required a commitment of materials delivered/services rendered, then verification of work completed before any funds were released for payment. The contractors all seemed familiar with the process and never had an issue with it.

We can work something out. Why don't you call around up there and see if you can find the original or the Bourbon barrel aged one, then we can meet up and do a mix/match trade.

Called Wishing Well in Easton and they have a few 4 packs of the Oak aged vanilla WWS from 2017. That one is very good but the original is better imo, and the Bourbon Barrel aged one is awesome too. So hard to find. I will take what I can get though lol. Plus it is extra aged so might be even better. Might swing by there Monday.

Kinda sad the original DFH WWS is nowhere to be found these days. It is simply the best high gravity stout ever- and some would probably characterize it as a barleywine. I miss that stuff. I bet there are a few places that might still have a few on the shelf- probably Atlantic Liquors in Rehoboth. I am sure its available down there on tap at C&M too.