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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Verbatim its pure rain pretty much everywhere east of the mountains by hour 100.
  2. LOL Mount Holly talkin' lots of rain and possible flooding with melting snowpack for the late week deal in their latest AFD. They ain't buying these somewhat colder solutions, at least not yet.
  3. ^Nice while it lasted.. about 20 mins lol.
  4. I was legit thinking of posting something just like this. Nice.
  5. LOL. Yeah those poor bastards. I would be fine with a padder inch or so before a flip to rain. Not picky. This is a pretty unfavorable setup for the coastal plain.
  6. NW folks look to be in pretty decent shape for significant frozen. Not sure how acceptable an outcome is in the cards for I-95 and esp east. Probably about as good as it gets right now given the synoptics and the time frame.
  7. Maybe try explaining exactly what you are trying to illustrate when you post these panels. They seem totally random and are useless without any context. I mean, most of what you are posting seems pretty useless regardless. Its like.. yaaaay look I got Pivotal weather!
  8. Looks like a weak NS wave on the means. Maybe a couple inches for NE? I suppose it could trend better.
  9. Sun just broke through here a bit. Damn its been like 4-5 days. Kinda nice. Temp up to 33.
  10. 31 here, but decent melting with the energy from the mid Feb sun doing its thing through the fog and clouds. No effort required on the deck, steps and car. Trees still look pretty with the ice.
  11. Projecting? Protruding? Never mind, they wouldn't have worked either.
  12. In order to get into the proper weenie mindset and overwhelm the cold hard facts, I would need to see some hope for my yard. There isn't any lol.
  13. Still looks like we could be set up for a decent period heading into March, IF the blocking verifies and is even a bit stronger. Pretty good indication of enough confluence where one or more waves ejecting eastward could take a favorable track. If the blocking doesn't materialize or is weaker, the SE ridge will end up bulging northward with the advertised EPAC look.
  14. I am gonna guess just about all of it falls as liquid anywhere south of central PA, although some of it may freeze on contact in the far NW fringes of our subforum.
  15. Bring the mild and rain. With the trough well west and the HL block breaking down, there is really no chance of snow for the lowlands this week. Models like to depict crippling ice storms at range in these setups, but like I said the other day, it almost never happens over here. Thankfully.
  16. 27 here this morning with a bit of fog and frz drizzle.
  17. 28 with light zr still falling. Looks like Mount Holly was close to going with ISW here... We`ve increased the planar ice accumulation totals up to near 0.25" which is bordering on ice storm warning conditions. We`ve opted not to issue an ice storm warning mainly due to the impacts we were not seeing earlier combined with a look at the road/sub surface temps.
  18. Pretty impressive looking out there now.
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