CAPE

It is going to be pretty gross for awhile longer.

Now I need to make a walkway up to the front steps. The other side of the house with the stone walkway(to the old parking area) will get a patio and some nice trees/landscaping off the deck.

WPC looks kinda meh. Maybe an inch. Heavier stuff south of here.

Other than the area I have been watering where I have new grass coming up, soil is very dry here. Nothing significant since last weekend. Could use a good soaking, but not a tropical deluge where much of it runs off.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 322 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-200730- /O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0007.210820T0600Z-210820T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Kent-Inland Sussex-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline- Including the cities of Georgetown, Denton, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, and Dover 322 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Delaware...and northeast Maryland...including the following areas...in Delaware...Inland Sussex and Kent. In northeast Maryland...Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes, and Talbot. * From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday afternoon. * An approaching upper level disturbace will cause multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms to develop tonight into Friday morning. Widespread 1 to 3 inches of rainfall will be possible with localized higher totals. This could result in flash flooding.

And holy hell is it tropical out there. I didn't do much of anything except stand out there watching/supervising and I am worn out lol. Now I see there is a flash flood watch for here. The soil can definitely take the rain. It is like talcum powder. Good timing if it does end up pouring. I guess I will see how well this drains and if I end up with a sinkhole or 2 under the new parking pad lol.

Got the new parking area done. Crew was very efficient. Tree removal, chipped, left the specified hardwood I wanted for firewood(cut to 5 ft. lengths), removed and hauled away stumps, graded, put down 6" of crushed concrete base, and #7 bluestone on top, plus had enough left to refresh the rest of my driveway. All in 6 hours.

0.01" for the event. Perfect, as I have the excavation contractor showing up at 7am tomorrow. Pretty dry here the last few days. Hopefully nothing pops overnight.

I was just looking at radar and thinking your yard is finally getting some good rain.

Brightening up after some downpours here in Easton. Looks and feels very tropical.

If there is a sharp gradient make sure to zoom in to street level. It's always very close when I compare it to my gauge.

https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours

Probably being triggered by a stationary front oriented NW to SE through the region. eta- the front is now a warm front on the move eastward. Looking at current analysis it lies right along the bay in our region.

Current take from Mount Holly on potential for severe with Fred- One other item to watch: with our region being in a right-of-track position late Wednesday and Wednesday night, we may have to monitor for the risk of rotating cells and an isolated tornado threat. The SPC SWODY2 has added a Marginal Risk of severe weather for the region. Due to weak dynamic forcing, including the lack of any nearby synoptic frontal systems, this potential looks lower than normal with a tropical system. It also looks like instability will be quite limited. Nonetheless, this will at least be something to keep an eye on.

Nothing heavy here, but have picked up 0.35" from a few decent showers rolling through.

0.18" from that brief little shower. Didn't really rain that hard. Tropical though. Very efficient.

Getting a decent tropical shower here now. I am happy to see the westward shift in the heavy rain forecast for this week. Looks like the mountains will take the brunt, with a general 1-2" for the Piedmont and maybe even less for the coastal plain. I have a project scheduled for late week, and wet and rainy might delay it.

18z 3km NAM looks problematic for late tonight into tomorrow for areas just SW of DC that got hit hard last night with heavy rain. Some 2"+ amounts

It is uncanny.

WPC qpf forecast for the next 7 days. Could be even more than that, esp for areas west of DC. I will hope for even less than depicted for my yard, as I have excavation work scheduled for late week.

Yeah it looks like 3 periods where heavy rain is possible through next Saturday, the first being later tonight into tomorrow. The first threat looks like it is focused on DC and just west/sw.

Yeah its a tad risky getting a cool season tall fescue blend going that early. It's still a bit early now, but I have found around the middle part of August is less of a problem in general. Almost 2 months past the solstice, but the hot and humid weather can still be a problem. I do it in stages and I need to get going early, as I am in the woods and want all the new grass to get well established before the leaves start coming down. With the lower sun angle half my yard is much more shaded now too, so I start with that side first.

At least your weather during the winter months there still resembles winter.