CAPE
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Sprinkling here now. Looks like its pouring just to my sw looking at radar.
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Some decent showers have popped right along the bay.
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Looking at the longer term, guidance is in decent agreement with the slow moving front getting close by late Wed, then perhaps stalling over our area into next weekend. With multiple perturbations moving through late week, rain chances increase, and there is a possible closed low in the picture for next weekend. It could be a pretty wet period, and the holiday weekend might not feature ideal weather if that closed low idea is correct. GFS is the most aggressive moving that feature through.
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That's it! Damn good stuff. Enjoy.
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Eating eggplant parm and drinking a glass of red. I am sure some wine connoisseur will gasp, but 14 Hands Cabernet Sauvignon is damn good for 10 bucks.
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This is the DDH. I should have been more explicit.
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Earthquake? Meh Happy Friday HH. Enjoying an Oh-J DIPA from Pine Brewing. This is a classic NE IPA. Very well done.
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You will miss the big heat. Probably be 96 in Reisterstown and 86 there.
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NFL is the only sport I plan around. College football I generally have on in the background if I'm home on a Saturday, but never glued to the TV. Never got into Hockey, NBA is unwatchable, and so is Baseball for different reasons. I will watch a little college basketball around tournament time, but not as into it as I used to be.
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Worst run differential in baseball. Arizona has a worse record, and might be a tad more awful than the Orioles.
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Disaster.
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53. Was nice while it lasted.
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115 with a dewpoint of 40 ain't so bad.
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In just a little over a month NFL training camps begin. Unified start this year, for the first time ever.
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That is an impressive upper ridge as advertised. Dwarfs the one in the WA that will bring the "heat" here. As that western ridge amplifies, looks like it will also pinch off the trough to our west and pull it southwestward, as the Atlantic ridge also strengthens downstream. We likely wont see a CFP until next Friday when the next piece of h5 energy drops down, as the longwave pattern de-amplifies and becomes a bit more progressive.
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Do both. Drink plenty of water up until HH. Then its adult beverage time. Currently sipping on a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Damn good stuff.
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It looks like the developing trough to the west and associated front very well may never make it here, but another significant piece of energy drops down late next week on guidance, as the WA ridge breaks down. Probably the next best chance for widespread convection with an actual frontal passage, followed by somewhat cooler temps. Repeating pattern progression..
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Pretty classic Bermuda High setting up. You should get your fix beginning this weekend. Looks to be some solid heat and humidity through at least the middle of next week, with not much chance of meaningful rainfall for most. A perfectly dull, monotonous, sultry, summertime period. Enjoy!
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71/49 here. Just a WOW.
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And the rest of us are happy about that.
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If it doesn't rain for like 10 days with typical heat, no amount of watering will help with all the trees I have, and I would have to give up. So far we have only had these relatively brief periods of heat followed by periods like we have now, and no long dry spells(for most). Not seeing strong indications of a shift in the general pattern, so maybe we can keep this sequence going a bit longer.
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We all know normal here. I just want to see if it's possible to keep my grass all summer. Hasn't happened for awhile. I am on a mission. Need some water though.
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Me too. Slight chance of getting some showers here later tomorrow as the coastal low passes to the north. For the weekend and probably Monday at least, its back the weakly forced regime with scattered pulser storms in the afternoon. That works out better in areas with terrain enhancement and right along the water with breezes acting as triggers.
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It depends on how far west that High gets, and how long it stays there. It's looking like it will block that front from moving east for awhile. There will probably be scattered convection though due to the moisture feed and surface heating, but with weak shear and not much of a trigger, it will be more the pulser type storms. Over here especially the subsidence may be a major inhibitor to getting any afternoon convection going until that front can move closer. It could also just wash out and never make it.
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Needed more rain here. Probably mow today and water afterwards in prep for the hot/dry stretch. Keeping the grass higher seems to be helping so far. Usually have significant degradation by the solstice.
