CAPE
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Latest CFS for early-mid Dec. Similar to latest Euro weeklies. This would be a heck of a pattern leading up to the holidays.
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Refreshing early June morning. 58.
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GFS op doing its thing in the LR.
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Next weekend looks decidedly more chilly than this one behind the late week frontal passage. Instead of approaching 80, it appears temps will struggle to hit 50. Upper 20s/30s for lows Sunday night.
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Temp anomaly is around -3F at the surface for that period verbatim. Take it fwiw, and best to glean only the very general idea with these overly smoothed super LR tools. Ofc the actual h5 pattern for that timeframe could always end up the antithesis of what is currently being advertised.
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Latest LR/extended guidance suggests a brief period of +PNA, but then it trends back neutral/negative. Generally seasonable temps for mid to late month looks like a good bet right now. Remains to be seen if we get some NAO help by the end of the month. Euro weeklies still suggestive of higher heights building over Greenland for early December.
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EPO ridge gets established mid month on the big 3 global ens means.
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This was predictable.
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They clearly don't understand that the beaches get more snow than the corridor in a Nina. Bust.
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It may end up being average if the LR guidance is correct and a shift in the pattern is underway around mid month. The last third of the month could be cooler than average. Ofc we just cant know yet.
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This weekend looks legit June-like.
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0.65" here overnight. Some heavy downpours.
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A bit early for me. I usually try to wait until December.
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Pretty good agreement for some sort of a workable pattern evolving over the next several weeks. Main issue would be climo ofc. December snow is highly desirable and romanticized, but not very often realized in the MA lowlands.
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New edition of CanSIPS for December at h5. Surface temps normal to slightly below for our region, precip slightly above. I am sure we could thread the needle for some seriously cold rain out of a set up like this.
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Giving up a 2 and a 5 and a spare part LB..so the question is can they actually keep this dude long term? Otherwise a bit steep for a rental.
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Well damn. Bears trading LB Roquan Smith to Ravens for draft picks https://www.nfl.com/news/bears-trade-lb-roquan-smith-to-ravens-for-draft-picks Not a WR but a significant upgrade at a position of need presently. And both Bowser and Ojabo were activated and may be ready to return over the week or so. LB talent and depth could become a major strength for the second half of the season.
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Btw this is the correct thread for discussion about how the longwave pattern may unfold over the next month. If you want speculation/forecasts about the character of winter as a whole, or never-ending 'opinions' from the daily post limited member from another sub, the 5 month old winter thread is where you should be.
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Latest Euro weeklies for the same period. All Fwiw obv. A month out these long range forecast tools, over a series of consecutive cycles, should have some clue one would think. Otherwise what good are they?
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I mean, shit, we only about a month away now.
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Latest CFS weeklies look like this the period just beyond the last week or so of November when the HL blocking is forecast by the model to develop. Would be a pretty decent look to start off December.
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Was hiking at Tuckahoe and ended up at Adkins Arboretum. When I was walking that path and saw that view I was like whoa. Set up for a perfect shot.
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Had to go look at the record. Damn. No one talking about them. Smoke and mirrors? On the surface, seems they might be the second best team in the NFC. Hear plenty of talk about the Eagles.
